La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kocaelispor v Fatih Karagümrük
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kocaelispor (Local)
Predicción 45.68%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.59%45.62%45.68%47.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.042.052.1552.36%48.94%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fatih Karagümrük (Visitante)
Predicción 26.06%3.84momio equitativo
EV -0.173%
Ventaja -0.045%
Kelly -0.061%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%26.10%26.08%27.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.493.503.8331.75%28.68%28.57%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.26%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.477%
Kelly -0.669%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.27%28.24%29.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.203.4834.72%31.12%31.25%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.08%EV -1.80%E -0.835%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -6.69%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV -1.66%E -0.477%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -1.80%E -0.835%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -1.80%E -0.835%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.96%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.97%EV -4.34%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.06%EV -7.31%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -12.68%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 16:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.45%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.10%EV -0.173%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -4.48%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.12%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.77%EV -8.72%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betsson | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.12%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.77%EV -8.72%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -7.28%E -3.58%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetUS | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.73%E -3.83%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.955%E -0.251%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.955%E -0.251%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -8.72%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -17.90%E -5.68%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -10.02%E -5.08%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.47%E -5.34%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.07%EV -11.84%E -6.14%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.76%E -6.68%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.61%E -6.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.66% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |