Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kocaelispor v Amed SK

Kickoff: 2026-08-24 18:30 UTC

Final: Kocaelispor 2–0 Amed SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kocaelispor (Local)

Prediction 38.73%2.58fair odd
EV +3.80%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +2.26%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.18%38.90%38.91%43.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.322.382.6848.54%43.07%42.02%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amed SK (Visit)

Prediction 30.63%3.26fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +0.782%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%30.60%30.51%34.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.833.073.053.3535.34%32.55%32.79%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.64%3.26fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.333%
Kelly +0.478%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.53%30.49%30.57%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.103.3035.09%32.37%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kocaelispor (Local): 38.73%; Amed SK (Visit): 30.63%; Draw: 30.64%. For Kocaelispor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.18%EV +3.80%E +1.42%K +2.26%G +0.086%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV -13.31%E -4.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.56%EV +0.487%E +0.148%K +0.213%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-24 18:24
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.71%EV -0.137%E -0.042%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -5.95%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-24 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 18:19
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 18:14
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.51%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 18:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -12.70%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 18:25
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 18:20
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.13%EV -5.88%E -2.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.00%EV -2.89%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.87%EV -5.64%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 18:24
NordicBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.08%EV -5.88%E -2.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%EV -9.94%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.44%EV -6.87%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 18:25
Betsson🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.08%EV -5.88%E -2.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%EV -9.94%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.44%EV -6.87%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.59%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.27%E -2.59%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -9.01%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 18:09
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 18:09
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:14
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:11
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:19
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:14
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.69%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 18:18
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.78%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -8.21%E -3.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV +0.476%E +0.145%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -0.432%E -0.133%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -8.21%E -3.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV +0.476%E +0.145%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -0.432%E -0.133%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 18:09
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.93%EV -8.21%E -3.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -4.43%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -10.24%E -3.49%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 18:23
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.98%E -3.82%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.86%E -5.71%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -12.70%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.86%E -5.71%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%EV -15.57%E -7.14%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.62%E +0.782%K +1.12%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.10%E +0.333%K +0.478%G +0.005%6.0%2026-08-24 12:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%EV -15.57%E -7.14%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.62%E +0.782%K +1.12%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.10%E +0.333%K +0.478%G +0.005%6.0%2026-08-24 12:54
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -18.67%E -8.89%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -1.97%E -0.617%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 17:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -18.67%E -8.89%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -1.97%E -0.617%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 17:44
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -18.67%E -8.89%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -3.51%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -20.21%E -9.81%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -20.21%E -9.81%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 39.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.20%0.2%2026-08-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-08-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-08-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-08-24 18:20
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-08-24 18:25