Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kocaelispor v Amed SK

Início: 2026-08-24 18:30 UTC

Final: Kocaelispor 2–0 Amed SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kocaelispor (Local)

Previsão 38.73%2.58odd justa
EV +3.80%
Vantagem +1.42%
Kelly +2.26%
Crescimento +0.086%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.18%38.90%38.91%43.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.062.322.382.6848.54%43.07%42.02%37.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Amed SK (Visitante)

Previsão 30.63%3.26odd justa
EV +2.62%
Vantagem +0.782%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.15%30.60%30.51%34.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.833.073.053.3535.34%32.55%32.79%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.64%3.26odd justa
EV +1.10%
Vantagem +0.333%
Kelly +0.478%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.53%30.49%30.57%31.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.093.103.3035.09%32.37%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kocaelispor (Local): 38.73%; Amed SK (Visitante): 30.63%; Empate: 30.64%. Para Kocaelispor (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.58. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.68, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.18%EV +3.80%E +1.42%K +2.26%G +0.086%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV -13.31%E -4.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.56%EV +0.487%E +0.148%K +0.213%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-24 18:24
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.71%EV -0.137%E -0.042%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -5.95%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-24 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 18:19
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 18:14
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.51%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 18:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -12.70%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 18:25
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 18:20
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.13%EV -5.88%E -2.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.00%EV -2.89%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.87%EV -5.64%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 18:24
NordicBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.08%EV -5.88%E -2.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%EV -9.94%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.44%EV -6.87%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 18:25
Betsson🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.08%EV -5.88%E -2.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%EV -9.94%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.44%EV -6.87%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.59%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.27%E -2.59%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -9.01%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 18:09
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 18:09
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:14
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:11
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:19
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 18:14
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.69%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 18:18
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.78%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -8.21%E -3.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV +0.476%E +0.145%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -0.432%E -0.133%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -8.21%E -3.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV +0.476%E +0.145%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -0.432%E -0.133%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 18:09
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.93%EV -8.21%E -3.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -4.43%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -10.24%E -3.49%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 18:23
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.98%E -3.82%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.86%E -5.71%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -12.70%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.86%E -5.71%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%EV -15.57%E -7.14%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.62%E +0.782%K +1.12%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.10%E +0.333%K +0.478%G +0.005%6.0%2026-08-24 12:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%EV -15.57%E -7.14%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.62%E +0.782%K +1.12%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +1.10%E +0.333%K +0.478%G +0.005%6.0%2026-08-24 12:54
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.96%E -0.614%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -18.67%E -8.89%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -1.97%E -0.617%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 17:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -18.67%E -8.89%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -1.97%E -0.617%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 17:44
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -18.67%E -8.89%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -3.51%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -20.21%E -9.81%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -20.21%E -9.81%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 17:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.20%0.2%2026-08-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-08-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-08-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-08-24 18:20
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-08-24 18:25