Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kasimpasa SK v Torku Konyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC

Final: Kasimpasa SK 0–0 Torku Konyaspor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Prediction 39.29%2.54fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%39.35%39.47%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.402.4844.44%41.94%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Torku Konyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 30.64%3.26fair odd
EV +0.508%
Edge +0.155%
Kelly +0.223%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%30.70%30.38%33.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.2836.36%33.72%33.33%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.06%3.33fair odd
EV -0.788%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.343%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.99%29.96%30.15%30.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.103.3034.48%32.02%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kasimpasa SK (Local): 39.29%; Torku Konyaspor (Visit): 30.64%; Draw: 30.06%. For Torku Konyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.508%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.98%EV -4.91%E -2.03%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV +0.508%E +0.155%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -4.70%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 15:10
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.21%EV -1.64%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.21%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-18 15:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -1.94%E -0.607%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.94%E -0.607%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.84%E -3.81%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:04
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.13%EV -7.27%E -3.08%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -2.89%E -0.896%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:29
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.48%E -2.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:05
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.21%EV -5.62%E -1.82%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.21%EV -7.40%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.03%EV -6.88%E -2.90%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.23%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.73%EV -9.51%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -6.54%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -6.54%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 11:59
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -6.54%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 11:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -6.54%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -0.788%E -0.239%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -4.12%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:55
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:55
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 14:24
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.56%EV -11.59%E -5.15%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.97%EV -8.99%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.48%EV -12.21%E -4.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.60%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -8.45%E -3.63%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.01%EV -10.22%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99%EV -8.91%E -2.94%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -0.788%E -0.239%K -0.343%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:21
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.59%E -5.15%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 15:05
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.59%E -5.15%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.75%E -4.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:35
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -14.20%E -5.07%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 21:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 21:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 21:10
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-09-18 15:25