La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Kasimpasa SK v Torku Konyaspor

Inicio: 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC

Final: Kasimpasa SK 0–0 Torku Konyaspor

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Predicción 39.29%2.54momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.78%39.35%39.47%41.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.402.4844.44%41.94%41.67%40.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Torku Konyaspor (Visitante)

Predicción 30.64%3.26momio equitativo
EV +0.508%
Ventaja +0.155%
Kelly +0.223%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.21%30.70%30.38%33.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.973.003.2836.36%33.72%33.33%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.06%3.33momio equitativo
EV -0.788%
Ventaja -0.239%
Kelly -0.343%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.99%29.96%30.15%30.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.123.103.3034.48%32.02%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kasimpasa SK (Local): 39.29%; Torku Konyaspor (Visitante): 30.64%; Empate: 30.06%. Para Torku Konyaspor (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.26. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.28, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.508%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.98%EV -4.91%E -2.03%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV +0.508%E +0.155%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -4.70%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 15:10
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.21%EV -1.64%E -0.510%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.21%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-18 15:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -1.94%E -0.607%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.94%E -0.607%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.84%E -3.81%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:04
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.13%EV -7.27%E -3.08%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -2.89%E -0.896%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:29
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.48%E -2.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:05
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.21%EV -5.62%E -1.82%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.21%EV -7.40%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.03%EV -6.88%E -2.90%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.23%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.73%EV -9.51%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -6.54%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -6.54%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 11:59
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -6.54%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 11:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -6.54%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -0.788%E -0.239%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -4.12%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:55
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:55
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 14:24
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.56%EV -11.59%E -5.15%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.97%EV -8.99%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.48%EV -12.21%E -4.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.60%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -8.45%E -3.63%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.01%EV -10.22%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99%EV -8.91%E -2.94%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -0.788%E -0.239%K -0.343%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:21
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.59%E -5.15%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 15:05
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.59%E -5.15%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.75%E -4.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:35
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.29%E -0.705%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.67%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -9.63%E -4.19%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -14.20%E -5.07%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 21:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 21:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 21:10
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.70%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 21:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-09-18 15:25