La scuola delle quote

Kasimpasa SK v Kocaelispor

Inizio: 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

Finale: Kasimpasa SK 1–1 Kocaelispor

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Casa)

Previsione 47.39%2.11quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.683%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.49%47.39%47.37%49.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.971.962.0854.05%50.81%51.02%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kocaelispor (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.46%4.26quota equa
EV +1.57%
Vantaggio +0.363%
Kelly +0.472%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.64%23.48%23.53%25.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.873.854.3328.57%25.86%25.97%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.15%3.43quota equa
EV -0.021%
Vantaggio -0.006%
Kelly -0.009%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.03%29.13%29.11%30.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.193.203.4334.72%31.38%31.25%29.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV +1.57%E +0.363%K +0.472%G +0.007%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -8.53%E -4.42%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV +0.869%E +0.202%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:55
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -8.53%E -4.42%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV +0.869%E +0.202%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:54
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +0.869%E +0.202%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:55
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.76%EV -0.069%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.27%EV -0.021%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 16:54
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.77%EV -10.43%E -5.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -0.304%E -0.071%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:53
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 48.77%EV -10.43%E -5.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -0.304%E -0.071%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:55
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -8.06%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -1.48%E -0.352%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -8.47%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.43%EV -1.42%E -0.683%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.39%EV -3.12%E -0.755%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.18%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 16:45
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.82%E -0.932%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:45
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.11%E -3.63%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.85%EV -4.53%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -8.77%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:55
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.11%E -3.63%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.85%EV -4.53%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -8.77%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.40%EV -5.69%E -2.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.35%E -0.702%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:45
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:51
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 16:55
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.37%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.86%EV -7.81%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.77%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:55
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.65%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -8.98%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -10.90%E -5.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 16:54
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 16:55
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.24%EV -12.32%E -6.66%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.62%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.13%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 16:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -9.95%E -5.24%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:54
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -4.26%E -2.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.05%E -5.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-03 16:45
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -16.72%E -4.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -6.63%E -3.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 16:55
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -6.63%E -3.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 16:55
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.11%E -3.63%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-03 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-03 16:56
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-05-03 16:55
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16%2.4%2026-05-03 16:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.57%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.35%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08%2.9%2026-05-03 16:55