L’École des cotes

Kasimpasa SK v Kocaelispor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

Score final : Kasimpasa SK 1–1 Kocaelispor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Prévision 47.39%2.11cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.683%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.49%47.39%47.37%49.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.971.962.0854.05%50.81%51.02%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kocaelispor (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.46%4.26cote équitable
EV +1.57%
Avantage +0.363%
Kelly +0.472%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.64%23.48%23.53%25.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.873.854.3328.57%25.86%25.97%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.15%3.43cote équitable
EV -0.021%
Avantage -0.006%
Kelly -0.009%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.03%29.13%29.11%30.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.193.203.4334.72%31.38%31.25%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV +1.57%E +0.363%K +0.472%G +0.007%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -8.53%E -4.42%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV +0.869%E +0.202%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:55
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -8.53%E -4.42%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV +0.869%E +0.202%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:54
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +0.869%E +0.202%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:55
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.76%EV -0.069%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.27%EV -0.021%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 16:54
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.77%EV -10.43%E -5.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -0.304%E -0.071%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:53
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 48.77%EV -10.43%E -5.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -0.304%E -0.071%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:55
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -8.06%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -1.48%E -0.352%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -8.47%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.43%EV -1.42%E -0.683%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.39%EV -3.12%E -0.755%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.18%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 16:45
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.82%E -0.932%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:45
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.11%E -3.63%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.85%EV -4.53%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -8.77%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:55
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.11%E -3.63%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.85%EV -4.53%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -8.77%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.40%EV -5.69%E -2.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.35%E -0.702%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:45
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:51
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 16:55
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.37%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.86%EV -7.81%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.77%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:55
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.65%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -8.98%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -10.90%E -5.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 16:54
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 16:55
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.24%EV -12.32%E -6.66%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.62%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.13%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 16:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -9.95%E -5.24%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:55
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:54
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -4.26%E -2.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.05%E -5.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-03 16:45
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -16.72%E -4.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -6.63%E -3.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 16:55
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -6.63%E -3.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 16:55
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.11%E -3.63%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-03 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-03 16:56
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-05-03 16:55
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16%2.4%2026-05-03 16:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.57%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.35%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08%2.9%2026-05-03 16:55