La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kasimpasa SK v Kocaelispor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kasimpasa SK (Local)
Predicción 47.39%2.11momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.683%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.49%47.39%47.37%49.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.971.962.0854.05%50.81%51.02%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kocaelispor (Visitante)
Predicción 23.46%4.26momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.363%
Kelly +0.472%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.64%23.48%23.53%25.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.873.854.3328.57%25.86%25.97%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.15%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.021%
Ventaja -0.006%
Kelly -0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.03%29.13%29.11%30.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.203.4334.72%31.38%31.25%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV +1.57%E +0.363%K +0.472%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -8.53%E -4.42%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV +0.869%E +0.202%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%EV -8.53%E -4.42%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV +0.869%E +0.202%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +0.869%E +0.202%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.76%EV -0.069%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.27%EV -0.021%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.77%EV -10.43%E -5.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -0.304%E -0.071%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:53 |
| BetUS | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.77%EV -10.43%E -5.52%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -0.304%E -0.071%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -8.06%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -1.48%E -0.352%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -8.47%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.43%EV -1.42%E -0.683%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.39%EV -3.12%E -0.755%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.18%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.82%E -0.932%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.11%E -3.63%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.85%EV -4.53%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -8.77%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betsson | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.11%E -3.63%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.85%EV -4.53%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -8.77%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.40%EV -5.69%E -2.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.35%E -0.702%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| GTbets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.37%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.86%EV -7.81%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.77%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.65%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -8.98%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -10.90%E -5.80%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.24%EV -12.32%E -6.66%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.62%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.13%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -9.95%E -5.24%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -3.32%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -4.26%E -2.11%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -9.48%E -4.96%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.05%E -5.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -5.21%E -2.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -16.72%E -4.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -6.63%E -3.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -6.63%E -3.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.11%E -3.63%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -17.90%E -5.11%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 16:56 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.60% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.57% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.35% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |