Language:English
Kasimpasa SK v Amed SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kasimpasa SK (Local)
Prediction 36.70%2.73fair odd
EV -0.190%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.110%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%36.93%36.58%40.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.472.502.7245.45%40.50%40.00%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Amed SK (Visit)
Prediction 33.47%2.99fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 3.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.50%33.22%33.55%35.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.803.0838.46%35.30%35.71%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.83%3.35fair odd
EV -0.368%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.157%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.56%29.85%29.87%31.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.153.3434.48%32.05%31.75%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kasimpasa SK (Local): 36.70%; Amed SK (Visit): 33.47%; Draw: 29.83%. For Amed SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.23%EV -11.20%E -4.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.82%EV +3.10%E +1.01%K +1.49%G +0.046% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.95%EV -5.44%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.59%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.59%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 11:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.59%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -17.44%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -17.44%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -17.44%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -2.59%E -0.889%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.99%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -19.27%E -8.76%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -19.27%E -8.76%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -0.923%E -0.342%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -3.93%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -6.04%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.96%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.35%EV -7.61%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 13:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -6.04%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -0.190%E -0.070%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.36%EV -8.28%E -3.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -0.368%E -0.110%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.23%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.53%EV -8.95%E -3.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.24%EV -6.93%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -4.23%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.18%EV -8.42%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -4.23%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.18%EV -8.42%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -13.77%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 13:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.67%EV -11.20%E -4.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.24%EV -10.62%E -3.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -12.00%E -4.07%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -6.04%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -11.96%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.96%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.35%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -6.04%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.04% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |