Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kasimpasa SK v Amed SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 14:00 UTC

Score final : Kasimpasa SK 2–2 Amed SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Prévision 36.70%2.73cote équitable
EV -0.190%
Avantage -0.070%
Kelly -0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.62%36.93%36.58%40.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.472.502.7245.45%40.50%40.00%36.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Amed SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.47%2.99cote équitable
EV +3.10%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.50%33.22%33.55%35.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.832.803.0838.46%35.30%35.71%32.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.83%3.35cote équitable
EV -0.368%
Avantage -0.110%
Kelly -0.157%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.56%29.85%29.87%31.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.123.153.3434.48%32.05%31.75%29.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kasimpasa SK (Local) : 36.70% ; Amed SK (Visiteur) : 33.47% ; Match nul : 29.83%. Pour Amed SK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.08, soit une espérance positive de +3.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.23%EV -11.20%E -4.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.82%EV +3.10%E +1.01%K +1.49%G +0.046%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.95%EV -5.44%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:30
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:29
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:29
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:30
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV +2.10%E +0.688%K +1.02%G +0.021%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.59%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 11:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.59%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 11:35
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.59%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -17.44%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -17.44%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 10:20
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -17.44%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 13:30
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -2.59%E -0.889%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.99%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -19.27%E -8.76%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -19.27%E -8.76%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 13:30
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -0.923%E -0.342%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -3.93%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 13:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 13:25
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 13:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 13:20
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -6.04%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:20
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 13:50
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.96%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.35%EV -7.61%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 13:34
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -6.04%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 13:49
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -0.190%E -0.070%K -0.110%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.36%EV -8.28%E -3.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -0.368%E -0.110%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.23%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.53%EV -8.95%E -3.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.24%EV -6.93%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 13:44
NordicBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -4.23%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.18%EV -8.42%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:55
Betsson🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -4.23%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.18%EV -8.42%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -13.77%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.67%EV -11.20%E -4.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.24%EV -10.62%E -3.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -12.00%E -4.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -6.04%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -11.96%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.96%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.35%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 13:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -6.04%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-09-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-09-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-09-06 13:55
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%0.9%2026-09-06 13:55
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.62%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-09-06 13:55
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.04%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%2.8%2026-09-06 13:55