Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Goztepe v Eyüpspor

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 17:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Goztepe (Local)

Prediction 64.37%1.55fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.987%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%64.22%64.50%66.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.461.461.5376.92%68.61%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eyüpspor (Visit)

Prediction 13.21%7.57fair odd
EV +4.73%
Edge +0.596%
Kelly +0.682%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 7.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.15%13.31%13.19%15.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.716.757.9317.24%14.89%14.81%12.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.42%4.46fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.330%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.23%22.47%22.31%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.074.054.4127.78%24.59%24.69%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goztepe (Local): 64.37%; Eyüpspor (Visit): 13.21%; Draw: 22.42%. For Eyüpspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.57. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.00%EV -6.02%E -4.12%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.93I 12.61%NM 12.15%EV +4.73%E +0.596%K +0.682%G +0.032%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.85%EV -1.12%E -0.255%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.47%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +2.35%E +0.303%K +0.348%G +0.008%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.02%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.47%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +2.35%E +0.303%K +0.348%G +0.008%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.02%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.15%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -0.951%E -0.127%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -8.59%E -6.05%K -20.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -0.951%E -0.127%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.12%EV -4.25%E -0.587%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -4.25%E -0.587%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 16:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.80%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.51%EV -4.25%E -0.587%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -8.59%E -6.05%K -20.45%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -4.91%E -0.682%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:00
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -7.95%E -5.56%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -4.91%E -0.682%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.20%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -7.95%E -5.56%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -4.91%E -0.682%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.20%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.70%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.12%EV -6.23%E -0.878%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -6.66%E -4.59%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -6.66%E -4.59%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.44%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:59
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.95%E -5.56%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.08%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:58
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.95%E -5.56%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.08%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:59
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.09%EV -11.17%E -8.09%K -29.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -14.80%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-28 17:00
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.54%EV -7.82%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.18%EV -4.49%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.76%EV -2.15%E -1.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 14.01%EV -8.61%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%EV -2.25%E -0.515%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.03%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.94%EV -10.20%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.76%EV -11.81%E -8.62%K -31.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.94%EV -10.86%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.92%E -0.674%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.66%E -4.59%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 64.46%EV -16.32%E -12.55%K -54.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.89%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -17.04%E -4.61%K -6.31%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -15.48%E -2.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -15.48%E -2.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.98%EV -15.48%E -2.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.10%EV -9.20%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.02%EV -2.80%E -1.85%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -20.76%E -3.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -20.76%E -3.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -19.29%E -5.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -23.40%E -4.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -23.40%E -4.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -23.40%E -4.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.62%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.62%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 65.55%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-02-28 17:00