L’École des cotes

Goztepe v Eyüpspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 17:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Goztepe (Local)

Prévision 64.37%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.987%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%64.22%64.50%66.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.461.461.5376.92%68.61%68.49%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eyüpspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.21%7.57cote équitable
EV +4.73%
Avantage +0.596%
Kelly +0.682%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 7.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.15%13.31%13.19%15.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.806.716.757.9317.24%14.89%14.81%12.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.42%4.46cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.255%
Kelly -0.330%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.23%22.47%22.31%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.074.054.4127.78%24.59%24.69%22.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.00%EV -6.02%E -4.12%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.93I 12.61%NM 12.15%EV +4.73%E +0.596%K +0.682%G +0.032%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.85%EV -1.12%E -0.255%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.47%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +2.35%E +0.303%K +0.348%G +0.008%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.02%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:00
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.47%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +2.35%E +0.303%K +0.348%G +0.008%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.02%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 16:59
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.15%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -0.951%E -0.127%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -8.59%E -6.05%K -20.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -0.951%E -0.127%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.12%EV -4.25%E -0.587%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -4.25%E -0.587%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 16:58
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.80%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.51%EV -4.25%E -0.587%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -8.59%E -6.05%K -20.45%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -4.91%E -0.682%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:00
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -7.95%E -5.56%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -4.91%E -0.682%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.20%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -7.95%E -5.56%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -4.91%E -0.682%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.20%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.70%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.12%EV -6.23%E -0.878%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -6.66%E -4.59%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -6.66%E -4.59%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.44%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:59
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.95%E -5.56%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.08%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:58
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.95%E -5.56%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.08%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.09%EV -11.17%E -8.09%K -29.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -7.55%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -14.80%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-28 17:00
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.54%EV -7.82%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.18%EV -4.49%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.76%EV -2.15%E -1.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 14.01%EV -8.61%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%EV -2.25%E -0.515%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.03%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.94%EV -10.20%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.76%EV -11.81%E -8.62%K -31.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.94%EV -10.86%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.92%E -0.674%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:00
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.66%E -4.59%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 16:59
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 17:00
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.46%EV -16.32%E -12.55%K -54.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.89%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -17.04%E -4.61%K -6.31%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -15.48%E -2.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -15.48%E -2.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.98%EV -15.48%E -2.42%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.10%EV -9.20%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -1.51%E -0.987%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -19.44%E -3.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.02%EV -2.80%E -1.85%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -20.76%E -3.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -9.88%E -7.06%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -20.76%E -3.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -19.29%E -5.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -23.40%E -4.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -23.40%E -4.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -23.40%E -4.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -15.92%E -4.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.62%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.62%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 65.55%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-02-28 17:00