Language:English
Goztepe v Çaykur Rizespor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Goztepe (Local)
Prediction 38.95%2.57fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -0.955%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.52%38.80%38.96%40.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.412.402.5346.51%41.44%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Çaykur Rizespor (Visit)
Prediction 33.63%2.97fair odd
EV +0.548%
Edge +0.183%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.15%33.77%33.60%36.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.722.742.9941.67%36.82%36.50%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.25%27.43%27.43%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.5532.26%29.55%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goztepe (Local): 38.95%; Çaykur Rizespor (Visit): 33.63%; Draw: 27.42%. For Çaykur Rizespor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.548%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.15%EV +0.548%E +0.183%K +0.275%G +0.002% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.15%EV +0.548%E +0.183%K +0.275%G +0.002% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.15%EV +0.548%E +0.183%K +0.275%G +0.002% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.41%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.25%EV -2.14%E -0.736%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.30%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 16:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.47%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 16:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.43%EV -6.91%E -2.89%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -7.30%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -7.30%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.90%EV -7.69%E -3.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 16:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.98%EV -1.46%E -0.578%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.95%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -2.65%E -0.745%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%EV -5.36%E -2.20%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.10%EV -4.84%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.47%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -5.75%E -2.37%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -7.86%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -8.95%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.05%EV -8.20%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.20%E -4.91%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.28%EV -8.20%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.88%EV -7.31%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.47%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -16.26%E -7.56%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.39%EV -10.21%E -3.83%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -7.30%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.30%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 16:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -17.61%E -7.19%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -19.29%E -8.04%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.87%E -3.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.29% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.86% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.34% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.86% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.34% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.77% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.49% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 17:00 |