L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Goztepe v Çaykur Rizespor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 17:01 UTC

Score final : Goztepe 2–2 Çaykur Rizespor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goztepe (Local)

Prévision 38.95%2.57cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.578%
Kelly -0.955%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.52%38.80%38.96%40.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.412.402.5346.51%41.44%41.67%39.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Çaykur Rizespor (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.63%2.97cote équitable
EV +0.548%
Avantage +0.183%
Kelly +0.275%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.15%33.77%33.60%36.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.722.742.9941.67%36.82%36.50%33.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.42%3.65cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.745%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.25%27.43%27.43%28.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.383.403.5532.26%29.55%29.41%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Goztepe (Local) : 38.95% ; Çaykur Rizespor (Visiteur) : 33.63% ; Match nul : 27.42%. Pour Çaykur Rizespor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.97. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.99, soit une espérance positive de +0.548%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.15%EV +0.548%E +0.183%K +0.275%G +0.002%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.15%EV +0.548%E +0.183%K +0.275%G +0.002%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 16:20
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.15%EV +0.548%E +0.183%K +0.275%G +0.002%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 16:19
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.41%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.25%EV -2.14%E -0.736%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 16:59
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.30%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:57
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.47%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 16:44
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:58
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.43%EV -6.91%E -2.89%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -7.30%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:19
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -7.30%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 16:49
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.90%EV -7.69%E -3.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 16:56
Coolbet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.98%EV -1.46%E -0.578%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.95%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -2.65%E -0.745%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:24
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:19
GTbets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%EV -5.36%E -2.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.10%EV -4.84%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:20
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 16:59
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.47%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 16:59
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 16:19
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -5.75%E -2.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -7.86%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -8.95%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.05%EV -8.20%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.20%E -4.91%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.28%EV -8.20%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.88%EV -7.31%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 16:19
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.47%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 16:44
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -16.26%E -7.56%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.39%EV -10.21%E -3.83%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 16:20
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:20
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:20
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:19
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -7.30%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 17:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.30%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 16:59
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 16:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:19
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -17.61%E -7.19%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -6.52%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -19.29%E -8.04%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.87%E -3.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-09-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-09-20 17:00
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.86%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.34%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-09-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.86%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.34%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-09-20 17:00
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.77%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.49%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-09-20 17:00
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-09-20 17:00