A Escola das Odds

Genclerbirligi SK v Goztepe

Início: 2026-04-04 11:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Previsão 28.99%3.45odd justa
EV +6.97%
Vantagem +1.89%
Kelly +2.59%
Crescimento +0.181%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.28%29.00%28.95%30.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.153.6933.33%31.40%31.75%27.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Goztepe (Visitante)

Previsão 40.83%2.45odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.06%40.81%40.85%42.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.272.272.3850.00%44.13%44.05%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.18%3.31odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -0.585%
Kelly -0.845%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.03%30.19%30.21%31.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.43%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV +6.97%E +1.89%K +2.59%G +0.181%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.34%EV -6.51%E -2.84%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.38%EV -6.73%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 11:19
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV +0.016%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.69%EV -2.83%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 11:09
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV +0.016%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.69%EV -2.83%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 11:09
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -1.43%E -0.422%K -0.597%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.01%EV -3.65%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -4.32%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 11:09
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.43%E -0.422%K -0.597%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:00
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -1.90%E -0.585%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 18:25
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 07:40
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -1.90%E -0.585%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 18:25
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.28%E -2.28%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 11:09
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 11:09
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 11:14
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:50
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 10:30
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.33%E -3.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:20
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -6.36%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.34%EV -5.28%E -2.28%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 05:54
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.06%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 10:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:25
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.55%EV -7.33%E -3.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -18.35%E -9.17%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -15.48%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-04 10:30
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.68%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.06%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.90%E -0.585%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 09:00
NordicBet3.13I 31.95%NM 29.70%EV -9.26%E -2.96%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.60%EV -6.51%E -2.84%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.70%EV -5.52%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 11:14
Betsson3.13I 31.95%NM 29.70%EV -9.26%E -2.96%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.60%EV -6.51%E -2.84%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.70%EV -5.52%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:50
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:49
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 09:01
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:10
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 05:10
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.06%EV -11.41%E -5.26%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -10.96%E -3.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 11:08
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -12.22%E -5.69%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 11:09
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 10:49
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 09:01
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 11:10
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 10:49
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -8.96%E -4.02%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 10:50
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -8.96%E -4.02%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 10:49
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -8.96%E -4.02%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 10:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-04 11:19
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.06%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.02%2.3%2026-04-04 11:20