La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Genclerbirligi SK v Goztepe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Genclerbirligi SK (Local)
Predicción 28.99%3.45momio equitativo
EV +6.97%
Ventaja +1.89%
Kelly +2.59%
Crecimiento +0.181%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%29.00%28.95%30.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.153.6933.33%31.40%31.75%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Goztepe (Visitante)
Predicción 40.83%2.45momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.06%40.81%40.85%42.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.272.272.3850.00%44.13%44.05%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.18%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.585%
Kelly -0.845%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.03%30.19%30.21%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.43%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.28%EV +6.97%E +1.89%K +2.59%G +0.181% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.34%EV -6.51%E -2.84%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.38%EV -6.73%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV +0.016%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.69%EV -2.83%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV +0.016%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.69%EV -2.83%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -1.43%E -0.422%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.01%EV -3.65%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -4.32%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.43%E -0.422%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -1.90%E -0.585%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 07:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -1.90%E -0.585%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.28%E -2.28%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Everygame | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.33%E -3.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| GTbets | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -6.36%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.34%EV -5.28%E -2.28%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 05:54 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.06%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.55%EV -7.33%E -3.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -18.35%E -9.17%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -15.48%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.68%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.06%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.90%E -0.585%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 09:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.70%EV -9.26%E -2.96%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.60%EV -6.51%E -2.84%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.70%EV -5.52%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| Betsson | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.70%EV -9.26%E -2.96%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.60%EV -6.51%E -2.84%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.70%EV -5.52%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 09:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 05:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.06%EV -11.41%E -5.26%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -10.96%E -3.71%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 11:08 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -12.22%E -5.69%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.71%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.10%E -2.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 09:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -10.18%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.14%E -3.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -8.96%E -4.02%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -8.96%E -4.02%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -8.96%E -4.02%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 10:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Smarkets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.06% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.02% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |