Language:English
Gazişehir Gaziantep v Fatih Karagümrük
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)
Prediction 44.55%2.24fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.35%44.66%44.50%50.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.022.002.1554.05%49.54%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fatih Karagümrük (Visit)
Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV +9.68%
Edge +2.48%
Kelly +3.34%
Growth +0.323%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.03%28.02%28.16%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.373.333.9033.90%29.70%30.08%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.298%
Kelly +0.409%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.32%27.32%27.34%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.393.403.7034.72%29.52%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local): 44.55%; Fatih Karagümrük (Visit): 28.12%; Draw: 27.33%. For Fatih Karagümrük (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -17.58%E -9.50%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV +9.68%E +2.48%K +3.34%G +0.323% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +1.10%E +0.298%K +0.409%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -17.58%E -9.50%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV +9.68%E +2.48%K +3.34%G +0.323% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +1.10%E +0.298%K +0.409%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +1.24%E +0.345%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +1.24%E +0.345%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.45%EV +0.680%E +0.190%K +0.264%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -2.99%E -0.843%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.45%EV +0.680%E +0.190%K +0.264%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -2.99%E -0.843%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.71%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.99%EV -1.90%E -0.530%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -14.91%E -7.80%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -2.98%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -14.91%E -7.80%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -2.98%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -14.91%E -7.80%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -2.98%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -8.22%E -3.99%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -3.26%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.64%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.38%EV -5.11%E -2.40%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 10:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.59%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.13%EV -10.85%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -10.65%E -3.26%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 10:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.82%E -4.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.82%E -4.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.82%E -4.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.29%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.82%E -4.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.89%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -8.46%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -11.79%E -5.95%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.30%E -7.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -15.35%E -8.08%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.15%EV -17.04%E -5.78%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.15%EV -19.39%E -6.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |