La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gazişehir Gaziantep v Fatih Karagümrük
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)
Predicción 44.55%2.24momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -3.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.35%44.66%44.50%50.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.022.002.1554.05%49.54%50.00%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fatih Karagümrük (Visitante)
Predicción 28.12%3.56momio equitativo
EV +9.68%
Ventaja +2.48%
Kelly +3.34%
Crecimiento +0.323%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.03%28.02%28.16%29.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.373.333.9033.90%29.70%30.08%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.33%3.66momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.298%
Kelly +0.409%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.32%27.32%27.34%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.393.403.7034.72%29.52%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -17.58%E -9.50%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV +9.68%E +2.48%K +3.34%G +0.323% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +1.10%E +0.298%K +0.409%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -17.58%E -9.50%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV +9.68%E +2.48%K +3.34%G +0.323% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +1.10%E +0.298%K +0.409%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +1.24%E +0.345%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +1.24%E +0.345%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.45%EV +0.680%E +0.190%K +0.264%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -2.99%E -0.843%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.45%EV +0.680%E +0.190%K +0.264%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -2.99%E -0.843%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.71%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.99%EV -1.90%E -0.530%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -0.163%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 10:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -14.91%E -7.80%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -2.98%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -14.91%E -7.80%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -2.98%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -14.91%E -7.80%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -2.98%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -8.22%E -3.99%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -3.26%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.64%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.38%EV -5.11%E -2.40%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 10:28 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.59%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.13%EV -10.85%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -10.65%E -3.26%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 10:28 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.82%E -4.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.82%E -4.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.82%E -4.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.29%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.82%E -4.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.89%EV -12.68%E -6.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -8.46%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -11.79%E -5.95%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.30%E -7.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -15.35%E -8.08%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.15%EV -17.04%E -5.78%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.15%EV -19.39%E -6.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |