Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Alanyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Prediction 34.04%2.94fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.679%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.45%33.99%34.08%34.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.712.702.8838.91%36.84%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alanyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 38.25%2.61fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.42%38.30%38.21%39.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.442.5644.44%41.34%40.98%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.70%27.71%27.72%29.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.353.5134.72%29.90%29.85%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local): 34.04%; Alanyaspor (Visit): 38.25%; Draw: 27.71%. For Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -1.96%E -0.679%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.09%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -1.96%E -0.679%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.09%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 13:54
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.08%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.24%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.67%EV -2.74%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 13:49
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.10%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.98%EV -2.47%E -0.968%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.91%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 13:40
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:55
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:27
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:24
NordicBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.67%EV -6.04%E -2.19%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -7.06%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -8.28%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:44
Betsson🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.67%EV -6.04%E -2.19%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -7.06%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -8.28%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.91%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:44
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:39
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.72%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -6.68%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -6.90%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:21
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:24
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:39
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:40
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -7.06%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 13:24
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:49
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:24
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.79%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.79%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -9.79%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 13:43
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -13.94%E -6.20%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -20.20%E -7.01%K -10.74%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-04 07:29
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.81%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.81%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 06:34
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.09%EV -12.51%E -4.87%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-04-04 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-04-04 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-04-04 13:54
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.08%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-04-04 13:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-04 13:40