La escuela de los momios

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Alanyaspor

Inicio: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Predicción 34.04%2.94momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.679%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.45%33.99%34.08%34.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.572.712.702.8838.91%36.84%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alanyaspor (Visitante)

Predicción 38.25%2.61momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.815%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.42%38.30%38.21%39.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.442.5644.44%41.34%40.98%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.71%3.61momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.781%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.70%27.71%27.72%29.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.5134.72%29.90%29.85%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -1.96%E -0.679%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.09%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -1.96%E -0.679%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.09%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 13:54
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.08%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.24%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.67%EV -2.74%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 13:49
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.10%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.98%EV -2.47%E -0.968%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.91%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 13:45
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 13:40
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:55
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:27
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:24
NordicBet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.67%EV -6.04%E -2.19%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -7.06%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -8.28%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:44
Betsson2.76I 36.23%NM 33.67%EV -6.04%E -2.19%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -7.06%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -8.28%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:44
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.91%E -2.40%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:30
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:44
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:39
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:39
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.72%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -6.68%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -6.90%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:24
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:21
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:24
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:39
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:40
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -7.06%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 13:24
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:49
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:24
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.79%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:40
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.79%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:44
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -9.79%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 13:45
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 13:43
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -13.94%E -6.20%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -20.20%E -7.01%K -10.74%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-04 07:29
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.81%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 13:40
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.81%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 06:34
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 13:24
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 13:24
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 13:44
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 34.09%EV -12.51%E -4.87%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 13:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-04-04 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-04-04 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-04-04 13:54
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.08%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-04-04 13:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-04 13:40