Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Galatasaray v Çorum FK

Inizio: 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC

Finale: Galatasaray 2–2 Çorum FK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

41 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Galatasaray (Casa)

Previsione 70.17%1.43quota equa
EV -3.16%
Vantaggio -2.29%
Kelly -8.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.79%70.13%70.22%72.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.74%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Çorum FK (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.20%8.93quota equa
EV +3.58%
Vantaggio +0.387%
Kelly +0.434%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.47%11.21%11.04%12.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.238.259.2514.29%12.15%12.12%10.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 18.63%5.37quota equa
EV +7.11%
Vantaggio +1.24%
Kelly +1.50%
Crescita +0.106%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.39%18.67%18.75%20.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.145.055.7523.09%19.47%19.80%17.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Galatasaray (Casa): 70.17%; Çorum FK (Trasferta): 11.20%; Pareggio: 18.63%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.37. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.11%.

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 18:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.08%EV -13.33%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.61%EV -1.09%E -0.205%K -0.252%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -10.18%E -7.95%K -36.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -1.27%E -0.240%K -0.296%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.97%EV -10.88%E -8.57%K -40.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -1.27%E -0.240%K -0.296%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 17:59
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +0.778%E +0.086%K +0.097%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:19
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +0.778%E +0.086%K +0.097%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV -12.66%E -1.62%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.07%EV -12.28%E -9.83%K -49.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-14 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.07%EV -12.28%E -9.83%K -49.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-14 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.50%EV +2.23%E +0.245%K +0.275%G +0.006%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.99%EV -5.93%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.17%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.47%EV +3.58%E +0.387%K +0.434%G +0.016%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.17%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.47%EV +3.58%E +0.387%K +0.434%G +0.016%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:10
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:15
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.03%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV -0.342%E -0.038%K -0.043%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -7.79%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.07%E -6.16%K -26.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -8.73%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.21%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.62%E -0.924%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:24
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 18:23
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.39%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -7.62%E -0.924%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -11.52%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:18
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.15%EV -11.58%E -9.19%K -44.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -12.45%E -2.65%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-14 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.60%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -13.22%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.62%EV -13.38%E -2.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 18:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.31%E -3.11%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 18:25
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 10.89%EV -4.60%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -15.24%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 10.89%EV -4.60%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -15.24%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -16.18%E -3.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -21.62%E -3.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -19.34%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 74.88%9.40I 10.64%NM 11.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.89%-5.3%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.37%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22%0.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.22%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.61%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%0.3%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.22%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.61%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%0.3%2026-08-14 18:25
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.52%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-08-14 18:25