Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galatasaray v Çorum FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC

Score final : Galatasaray 2–2 Çorum FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galatasaray (Local)

Prévision 70.17%1.43cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -8.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.79%70.13%70.22%72.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.74%75.19%72.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Çorum FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.20%8.93cote équitable
EV +3.58%
Avantage +0.387%
Kelly +0.434%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 9.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.47%11.21%11.04%12.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.238.259.2514.29%12.15%12.12%10.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.63%5.37cote équitable
EV +7.11%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.106%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.39%18.67%18.75%20.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.335.145.055.7523.09%19.47%19.80%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Galatasaray (Local) : 70.17% ; Çorum FK (Visiteur) : 11.20% ; Match nul : 18.63%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.37. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +7.11%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 18:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +7.11%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.106%6.1%2026-08-14 17:59
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.08%EV -13.33%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.61%EV -1.09%E -0.205%K -0.252%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -10.18%E -7.95%K -36.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -1.27%E -0.240%K -0.296%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.97%EV -10.88%E -8.57%K -40.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -1.27%E -0.240%K -0.296%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 17:59
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +0.778%E +0.086%K +0.097%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:19
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +0.778%E +0.086%K +0.097%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV -12.66%E -1.62%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.07%EV -12.28%E -9.83%K -49.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-14 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.07%EV -12.28%E -9.83%K -49.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-14 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.50%EV +2.23%E +0.245%K +0.275%G +0.006%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.99%EV -5.93%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.17%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.47%EV +3.58%E +0.387%K +0.434%G +0.016%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.17%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.47%EV +3.58%E +0.387%K +0.434%G +0.016%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:10
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:15
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.82%E -0.567%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.03%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV -0.342%E -0.038%K -0.043%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -7.79%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.07%E -6.16%K -26.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -8.73%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.21%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.62%E -0.924%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:24
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 18:23
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.39%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -7.62%E -0.924%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -11.52%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:18
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.15%EV -11.58%E -9.19%K -44.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -10.42%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -12.45%E -2.65%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-14 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.60%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -13.22%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.62%EV -13.38%E -2.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 18:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.31%E -3.11%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 18:25
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 10.89%EV -4.60%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -15.24%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 10.89%EV -4.60%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -15.24%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.02%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -16.18%E -3.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -21.62%E -3.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -19.34%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 74.88%9.40I 10.64%NM 11.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.89%-5.3%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.37%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22%0.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.22%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.61%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%0.3%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.22%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.61%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%0.3%2026-08-14 18:25
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.52%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-08-14 18:25