Language:English
Galatasaray v Basaksehir
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galatasaray (Local)
Prediction 66.81%1.50fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.759%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.41%66.92%66.43%69.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.391.401.4881.97%71.87%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Basaksehir (Visit)
Prediction 14.52%6.89fair odd
EV +8.88%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.121%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.89%14.43%14.74%16.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.316.107.5018.18%15.86%16.39%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.67%5.35fair odd
EV +2.71%
Edge +0.492%
Kelly +0.602%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.13%18.65%18.83%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.844.755.5023.81%20.64%21.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galatasaray (Local): 66.81%; Basaksehir (Visit): 14.52%; Draw: 18.67%. For Basaksehir (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -7.14%E -5.13%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +8.88%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.121% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV +2.71%E +0.492%K +0.602%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -7.14%E -5.13%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +8.88%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.121% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV +2.71%E +0.492%K +0.602%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.87%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.21%EV +5.98%E +0.819%K +0.949%G +0.057% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.92%EV +0.467%E +0.087%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.79%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.08%EV +4.53%E +0.629%K +0.730%G +0.033% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV +2.71%E +0.492%K +0.602%G +0.016% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.47%E -6.18%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.96%E -0.373%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -2.89%E -0.557%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.86%EV -7.14%E -5.13%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.41%EV +0.606%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.73%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.86%EV -7.14%E -5.13%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.41%EV +0.606%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.73%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -8.47%E -6.18%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.80%E -2.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.96%E -0.373%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.47%E -6.18%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.47%E -6.18%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.50%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.20%EV -18.49%E -15.16%K -84.06%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.31%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.49%EV -15.97%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.95%EV -2.46%E -1.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.42%EV -10.72%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.63%EV -9.80%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.67%EV -3.13%E -2.16%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.67%EV -3.13%E -2.16%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.26%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -21.57%E -5.14%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -14.35%E -2.43%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -14.35%E -2.43%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.54%EV -1.12%E -0.759%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%EV -14.64%E -2.49%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96%EV +0.841%E +0.156%K +0.191%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -15.80%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.97%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -15.80%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.97%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -15.80%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.97%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.30%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -17.25%E -3.03%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.50%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.33%EV -17.25%E -3.03%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.00%EV -7.80%E -5.66%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.50% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.50% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.50% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.59% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |