La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Galatasaray v Basaksehir
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Galatasaray (Local)
Predicción 66.81%1.50momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.759%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.41%66.92%66.43%69.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.391.401.4881.97%71.87%71.43%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Basaksehir (Visitante)
Predicción 14.52%6.89momio equitativo
EV +8.88%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.121%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.89%14.43%14.74%16.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.316.107.5018.18%15.86%16.39%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.67%5.35momio equitativo
EV +2.71%
Ventaja +0.492%
Kelly +0.602%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.13%18.65%18.83%20.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.844.755.5023.81%20.64%21.05%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -7.14%E -5.13%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +8.88%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.121% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV +2.71%E +0.492%K +0.602%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -7.14%E -5.13%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +8.88%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.121% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV +2.71%E +0.492%K +0.602%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.87%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.21%EV +5.98%E +0.819%K +0.949%G +0.057% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.92%EV +0.467%E +0.087%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.79%EV -9.81%E -7.27%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.08%EV +4.53%E +0.629%K +0.730%G +0.033% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV +2.71%E +0.492%K +0.602%G +0.016% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.47%E -6.18%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.96%E -0.373%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -2.89%E -0.557%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 16:49 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.86%EV -7.14%E -5.13%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.41%EV +0.606%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.73%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.86%EV -7.14%E -5.13%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.41%EV +0.606%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.73%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -8.47%E -6.18%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.80%E -2.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.96%E -0.373%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Bovada | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.47%E -6.18%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.47%E -6.18%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.50%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 16:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.20%EV -18.49%E -15.16%K -84.06%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.31%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.49%EV -15.97%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| GTbets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.95%EV -2.46%E -1.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.42%EV -10.72%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.63%EV -9.80%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.67%EV -3.13%E -2.16%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.67%EV -3.13%E -2.16%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.26%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 16:54 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -4.46%E -3.12%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 16:15 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -21.57%E -5.14%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -14.35%E -2.43%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -14.35%E -2.43%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.54%EV -1.12%E -0.759%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%EV -14.64%E -2.49%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96%EV +0.841%E +0.156%K +0.191%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -15.80%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.97%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -15.80%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.97%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -15.80%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.97%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.30%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -17.25%E -3.03%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.50%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -11.14%E -8.38%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.33%EV -17.25%E -3.03%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.00%EV -7.80%E -5.66%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.50% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.50% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.50% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.42% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.59% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |