Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 10.80
assuming max odds 5.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 72.62%; Torku Konyaspor (Visit): 10.14%; Draw: 17.24%. For Torku Konyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.86. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.50%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.69%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.99%EV +9.50%E +0.880%K +0.970%G +0.092% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +2.56%E +0.430%K +0.517%G +0.013% | 3.0% | 2026-08-22 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.05%EV -9.22%E -7.38%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 10.54I 9.49%NM 8.78%EV +6.87%E +0.651%K +0.720%G +0.049% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.17%EV -7.09%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.05%EV -9.22%E -7.38%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 10.54I 9.49%NM 8.78%EV +6.87%E +0.651%K +0.720%G +0.049% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.17%EV -7.09%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.86%E -3.71%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.48%EV +2.91%E +0.287%K +0.318%G +0.009% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.04%EV -2.61%E -0.462%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +1.39%E +0.139%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -0.888%E -0.155%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV +1.39%E +0.139%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -0.888%E -0.155%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV +1.39%E +0.139%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -0.888%E -0.155%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +1.39%E +0.139%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.57%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.60%EV -1.14%E -0.117%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.96%EV -7.77%E -6.12%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.55%EV -1.65%E -0.170%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.57%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -3.68%E -0.387%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -1.75%E -0.307%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 02:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -3.68%E -0.387%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.20%E -0.945%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.68%E -0.387%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -9.22%E -7.38%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -3.68%E -0.387%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.20%E -0.945%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.85%EV -8.49%E -6.74%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -3.68%E -0.387%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.32%EV -9.22%E -7.38%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -3.68%E -0.387%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.03%EV -7.27%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 08:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -3.41%E -2.56%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -3.41%E -2.56%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.20%E -0.945%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.20%E -0.945%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.68%EV -4.86%E -3.71%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 11:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.27%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 08:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -8.49%E -6.74%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.92%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -8.49%E -6.74%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.92%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -8.49%E -6.74%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.92%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -8.49%E -6.74%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.92%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -8.49%E -6.74%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.92%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -8.49%E -6.74%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.92%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -8.49%E -6.74%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.92%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -9.22%E -7.38%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -9.22%E -7.38%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -9.95%E -8.02%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.22%E -7.38%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.74%EV -11.40%E -9.34%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.86%EV -8.75%E -0.972%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -12.09%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.32%EV -4.86%E -3.71%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.77%EV -10.78%E -1.22%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV -3.47%E -0.620%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.94%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -11.28%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -3.41%E -2.56%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -13.82%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.20%E -0.945%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -3.41%E -2.56%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -13.82%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.20%E -0.945%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 22:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -3.41%E -2.56%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -13.82%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.20%E -0.945%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.14%E -3.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -13.82%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.14%E -3.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -13.82%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -13.82%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.92%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.56%EV -11.40%E -9.34%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -13.82%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.02%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.56%EV -11.40%E -9.34%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -13.82%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.02%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.49%E -6.74%K -32.67%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.81%EV -14.83%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -18.89%E -2.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.20%E -0.945%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -7.77%E -6.12%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -18.89%E -2.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -6.92%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -18.89%E -2.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -18.13%E -3.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.57% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.64% | 2.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |