Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce v Eyüpspor

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:00 UTC

Final: Fenerbahce 8–0 Eyüpspor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce (Local)

Prediction 81.37%1.23fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -22.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.12%81.33%81.35%83.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.151.1890.91%87.03%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eyüpspor (Visit)

Prediction 6.09%16.43fair odd
EV +16.46%
Edge +0.860%
Kelly +0.908%
Growth +0.149%

assuming max odds 19.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.91%6.06%6.18%7.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0014.8615.0019.138.33%6.73%6.67%5.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.55%7.97fair odd
EV +6.77%
Edge +0.796%
Kelly +0.902%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 8.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.08%12.61%12.47%15.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.857.267.008.5117.09%13.78%14.29%11.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 81.37%; Eyüpspor (Visit): 6.09%; Draw: 12.55%. For Eyüpspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.43. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.66%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%19.13I 5.23%NM 5.03%EV +16.46%E +0.860%K +0.908%G +0.149%8.51I 11.75%NM 11.31%EV +6.77%E +0.796%K +0.902%G +0.061%3.9%2026-09-20 13:59
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.13%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +15.67%E +0.825%K +0.870%G +0.136%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.96%EV -26.60%E -4.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:54
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.26%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%18.60I 5.38%NM 5.15%EV +13.23%E +0.711%K +0.752%G +0.100%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.59%EV +3.63%E +0.440%K +0.501%G +0.018%4.4%2026-09-20 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.05%EV -5.62%E -4.84%K -35.10%G +0.000%18.58I 5.38%NM 5.00%EV +13.11%E +0.706%K +0.746%G +0.098%6.21I 16.10%NM 14.95%EV -22.09%E -3.56%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -8.87%E -7.92%K -73.92%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +9.58%E +0.532%K +0.564%G +0.054%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +0.373%E +0.047%K +0.053%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.64%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV +3.49%E +0.205%K +0.218%G +0.008%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -8.06%E -7.13%K -61.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +3.49%E +0.205%K +0.218%G +0.008%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +6.65%E +0.782%K +0.886%G +0.059%6.1%2026-09-20 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +3.49%E +0.205%K +0.218%G +0.008%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -9.68%E -8.72%K -88.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.49%E +0.205%K +0.218%G +0.008%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +0.373%E +0.047%K +0.053%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 13:59
Fanatics🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.49%EV -5.62%E -4.84%K -35.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV -2.60%E -0.162%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.12%EV -8.06%E -7.13%K -61.98%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 5.99%EV -5.64%E -0.364%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -2.14%E -0.274%K -0.314%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.30%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.30%EV -2.14%E -0.274%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.30%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.30%EV -2.14%E -0.274%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:48
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.30%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.30%EV -2.14%E -0.274%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:49
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 13:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.30%EV -5.62%E -4.84%K -35.10%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.41%EV -4.65%E -0.611%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 13:50
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +0.373%E +0.047%K +0.053%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:44
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 13:54
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -7.24%E -6.35%K -51.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -10.50%E -9.54%K -104.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 13:50
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.66%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%14.81I 6.75%NM 6.37%EV -9.84%E -0.664%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.96%EV -8.66%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.60%EV -8.06%E -7.13%K -61.98%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.39%EV -13.25%E -0.930%K -1.000%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:58
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -5.62%E -4.84%K -35.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -18.45%E -2.84%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:34
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -8.06%E -7.13%K -61.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 13:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.09%EV -10.50%E -9.54%K -104.98%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.61%EV -17.81%E -1.32%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.30%EV -9.04%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:55
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 20:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 20:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 20:29
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -7.24%E -6.35%K -51.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 13:14
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -9.68%E -8.72%K -88.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.12%EV -8.87%E -7.92%K -73.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.07%EV -20.96%E -3.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.03%EV -8.87%E -7.92%K -73.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -23.90%E -1.91%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -2.76%E -0.357%K -0.409%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.28%EV -9.68%E -8.72%K -88.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -26.95%E -2.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.29%EV -9.04%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85%0.2%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.04%0.6%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.04%0.6%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.04%0.6%2026-09-20 13:55
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02%0.9%2026-09-20 13:55
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 82.48%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.84%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.68%2.7%2026-09-20 13:30