L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Fenerbahce v Eyüpspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 14:00 UTC

Score final : Fenerbahce 8–0 Eyüpspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fenerbahce (Local)

Prévision 81.37%1.23cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -3.38%
Kelly -22.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.12%81.33%81.35%83.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.101.151.151.1890.91%87.03%86.96%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Eyüpspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.09%16.43cote équitable
EV +16.46%
Avantage +0.860%
Kelly +0.908%
Croissance +0.149%

avec la cote maximale 19.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.91%6.06%6.18%7.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
12.0014.8615.0019.138.33%6.73%6.67%5.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 12.55%7.97cote équitable
EV +6.77%
Avantage +0.796%
Kelly +0.902%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 8.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.08%12.61%12.47%15.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.857.267.008.5117.09%13.78%14.29%11.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fenerbahce (Local) : 81.37% ; Eyüpspor (Visiteur) : 6.09% ; Match nul : 12.55%. Pour Eyüpspor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 16.43. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 19.13, soit une espérance positive de +16.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.66%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%19.13I 5.23%NM 5.03%EV +16.46%E +0.860%K +0.908%G +0.149%8.51I 11.75%NM 11.31%EV +6.77%E +0.796%K +0.902%G +0.061%3.9%2026-09-20 13:59
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.13%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +15.67%E +0.825%K +0.870%G +0.136%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.96%EV -26.60%E -4.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:54
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.26%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%18.60I 5.38%NM 5.15%EV +13.23%E +0.711%K +0.752%G +0.100%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.59%EV +3.63%E +0.440%K +0.501%G +0.018%4.4%2026-09-20 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.05%EV -5.62%E -4.84%K -35.10%G +0.000%18.58I 5.38%NM 5.00%EV +13.11%E +0.706%K +0.746%G +0.098%6.21I 16.10%NM 14.95%EV -22.09%E -3.56%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -8.87%E -7.92%K -73.92%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +9.58%E +0.532%K +0.564%G +0.054%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +0.373%E +0.047%K +0.053%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.64%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV +3.49%E +0.205%K +0.218%G +0.008%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -8.06%E -7.13%K -61.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +3.49%E +0.205%K +0.218%G +0.008%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +6.65%E +0.782%K +0.886%G +0.059%6.1%2026-09-20 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +3.49%E +0.205%K +0.218%G +0.008%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -9.68%E -8.72%K -88.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.49%E +0.205%K +0.218%G +0.008%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +0.373%E +0.047%K +0.053%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 13:59
Fanatics🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.49%EV -5.62%E -4.84%K -35.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV -2.60%E -0.162%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.12%EV -8.06%E -7.13%K -61.98%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 5.99%EV -5.64%E -0.364%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -2.14%E -0.274%K -0.314%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.30%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.30%EV -2.14%E -0.274%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.30%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.30%EV -2.14%E -0.274%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:48
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.30%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.30%EV -2.14%E -0.274%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:49
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.99%E -3.38%K -22.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 13:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.30%EV -5.62%E -4.84%K -35.10%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.41%EV -4.65%E -0.611%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 13:50
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +0.373%E +0.047%K +0.053%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:44
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 13:54
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -7.24%E -6.35%K -51.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -10.50%E -9.54%K -104.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -8.68%E -0.579%K -0.620%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 13:50
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.66%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%14.81I 6.75%NM 6.37%EV -9.84%E -0.664%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.96%EV -8.66%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.60%EV -8.06%E -7.13%K -61.98%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.39%EV -13.25%E -0.930%K -1.000%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:58
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:14
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -5.62%E -4.84%K -35.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -18.45%E -2.84%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:34
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -8.06%E -7.13%K -61.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -14.77%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -5.90%E -0.787%K -0.908%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 13:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.09%EV -10.50%E -9.54%K -104.98%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.61%EV -17.81%E -1.32%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.30%EV -9.04%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:55
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -4.80%E -4.10%K -28.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 20:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 20:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.43%E -5.59%K -42.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 20:29
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -7.24%E -6.35%K -51.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -15.31%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 13:14
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -9.68%E -8.72%K -88.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -12.17%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.12%EV -8.87%E -7.92%K -73.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -20.86%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.07%EV -20.96%E -3.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.03%EV -8.87%E -7.92%K -73.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -23.90%E -1.91%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -2.76%E -0.357%K -0.409%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.28%EV -9.68%E -8.72%K -88.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -26.95%E -2.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.29%EV -9.04%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85%0.2%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.04%0.6%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.04%0.6%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.04%0.6%2026-09-20 13:55
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02%0.9%2026-09-20 13:55
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 82.48%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.84%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.68%2.7%2026-09-20 13:30