La scuola delle quote

Fatih Karagümrük v Samsunspor

Inizio: 2026-02-22 17:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (Casa)

Previsione 31.41%3.18quota equa
EV -0.746%
Vantaggio -0.236%
Kelly -0.345%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.79%31.48%31.40%35.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.942.953.1640.82%34.05%33.90%31.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Samsunspor (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.20%2.62quota equa
EV -0.679%
Vantaggio -0.261%
Kelly -0.425%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.33%38.20%38.18%40.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.402.452.6045.45%41.58%40.90%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.39%3.29quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -0.762%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.77%30.32%30.42%31.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.653.073.103.2137.74%32.62%32.26%31.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.69%EV -0.746%E -0.236%K -0.345%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -5.26%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.21%EV -2.45%E -0.762%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -2.63%E -0.849%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.44%E -0.559%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -2.63%E -0.849%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.27%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 16:58
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.26%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.679%E -0.261%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.40%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.26%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.679%E -0.261%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.40%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -6.79%E -2.78%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -4.27%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 16:59
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:58
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:00
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 16:59
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.60%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -5.26%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:59
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -5.26%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:59
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 16:57
Betsson2.94I 34.01%NM 31.64%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.66%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.70%EV -7.92%E -2.61%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 16:59
GTbets2.93I 34.13%NM 32.20%EV -7.97%E -2.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.74%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.05%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:00
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:00
NordicBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.19%EV -9.23%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.60%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 17:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.48%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 17:00
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.91%E -5.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -15.96%E -7.25%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -16.43%E -5.97%K -9.39%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -4.27%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -12.90%E -5.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -8.22%E -2.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -12.05%E -4.30%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 16:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.05%E -4.30%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 16:59
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.07%EV -15.19%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.28%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.65%EV -19.47%E -7.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.03%EV -23.05%E -9.41%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.33%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -14.91%E -5.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 17:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-02-22 17:00