L’École des cotes

Fatih Karagümrük v Samsunspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 17:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (Local)

Prévision 31.41%3.18cote équitable
EV -0.746%
Avantage -0.236%
Kelly -0.345%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.79%31.48%31.40%35.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.942.953.1640.82%34.05%33.90%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Samsunspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.20%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.679%
Avantage -0.261%
Kelly -0.425%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.33%38.20%38.18%40.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.452.6045.45%41.58%40.90%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.39%3.29cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.762%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%30.32%30.42%31.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.073.103.2137.74%32.62%32.26%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.69%EV -0.746%E -0.236%K -0.345%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -5.26%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.21%EV -2.45%E -0.762%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -2.63%E -0.849%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.44%E -0.559%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -2.63%E -0.849%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.27%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 16:58
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.26%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.679%E -0.261%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.40%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.26%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.679%E -0.261%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.40%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -6.79%E -2.78%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -4.27%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 16:59
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:58
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:00
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 16:59
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.60%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -5.26%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:59
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -5.26%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:59
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 16:57
Betsson2.94I 34.01%NM 31.64%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.66%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.70%EV -7.92%E -2.61%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 16:59
GTbets2.93I 34.13%NM 32.20%EV -7.97%E -2.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.74%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.05%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:00
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:00
NordicBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.19%EV -9.23%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.60%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 17:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.48%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 17:00
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.91%E -5.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -15.96%E -7.25%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -16.43%E -5.97%K -9.39%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -4.27%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -12.90%E -5.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -8.22%E -2.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -12.05%E -4.30%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 16:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.05%E -4.30%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 16:59
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.07%EV -15.19%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.28%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.65%EV -19.47%E -7.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.03%EV -23.05%E -9.41%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.33%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -14.91%E -5.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-02-22 17:00