La escuela de los momios

Fatih Karagümrük v Samsunspor

Inicio: 2026-02-22 17:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (Local)

Predicción 31.41%3.18momio equitativo
EV -0.746%
Ventaja -0.236%
Kelly -0.345%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.79%31.48%31.40%35.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.942.953.1640.82%34.05%33.90%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Samsunspor (Visitante)

Predicción 38.20%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.679%
Ventaja -0.261%
Kelly -0.425%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.33%38.20%38.18%40.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.452.6045.45%41.58%40.90%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.39%3.29momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -0.762%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.77%30.32%30.42%31.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.073.103.2137.74%32.62%32.26%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.69%EV -0.746%E -0.236%K -0.345%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -5.26%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.21%EV -2.45%E -0.762%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -2.63%E -0.849%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.44%E -0.559%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -2.63%E -0.849%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.27%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 16:58
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.26%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.679%E -0.261%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.40%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.26%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.679%E -0.261%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -6.40%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -6.79%E -2.78%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -4.27%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 16:59
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:58
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:00
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 16:59
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.60%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -5.26%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:59
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -5.26%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -10.35%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:59
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 16:57
Betsson2.94I 34.01%NM 31.64%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.66%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.70%EV -7.92%E -2.61%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 16:59
GTbets2.93I 34.13%NM 32.20%EV -7.97%E -2.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.74%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.05%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.75%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:00
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:00
NordicBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.19%EV -9.23%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.60%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 17:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.48%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 17:00
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.91%E -5.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -15.96%E -7.25%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -16.43%E -5.97%K -9.39%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -4.27%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -12.90%E -5.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -8.22%E -2.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -12.05%E -4.30%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 16:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.05%E -4.30%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 16:59
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.07%EV -15.19%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.28%EV -14.05%E -6.24%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.65%EV -19.47%E -7.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.03%EV -23.05%E -9.41%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.33%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -14.91%E -5.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-02-22 17:00