Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fatih Karagümrük v Eyüpspor

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 11:32 UTC

Final: Fatih Karagümrük 1–2 Eyüpspor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fatih Karagümrük (Local)

Prediction 55.72%1.79fair odd
EV -0.265%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.335%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.21%55.63%55.88%57.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.691.701.7964.52%59.04%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eyüpspor (Visit)

Prediction 18.16%5.51fair odd
EV +4.41%
Edge +0.768%
Kelly +0.929%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.39%18.19%18.09%21.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.894.905.7523.26%20.46%20.41%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.741%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.18%26.03%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.62%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fatih Karagümrük (Local): 55.72%; Eyüpspor (Visit): 18.16%; Draw: 26.12%. For Eyüpspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.51. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.12%EV -5.84%E -3.45%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.35%E -0.904%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV +3.51%E +0.615%K +0.746%G +0.026%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.39%E -3.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV +1.69%E +0.302%K +0.367%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.39%E -3.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV +1.69%E +0.302%K +0.367%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.33%EV -6.95%E -4.16%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +1.69%E +0.302%K +0.367%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:30
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -0.126%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -0.126%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:29
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.71%EV -3.05%E -1.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.02%EV -2.30%E -0.428%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV -3.61%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 11:29
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.39%E -3.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.67%E -0.889%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.04%E -0.544%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 11:29
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -4.67%E -0.889%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:28
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -4.67%E -0.889%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.93%EV -5.84%E -3.45%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -5.57%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.65%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.23%EV -5.84%E -3.45%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.57%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -9.09%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.99%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 17.98%EV -6.12%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.03%EV -6.74%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.99%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 17.98%EV -6.12%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.03%EV -6.74%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:30
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.85%EV -3.05%E -1.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.71%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.44%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 11:29
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -3.35%E -0.904%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.95%E -4.16%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:29
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.95%E -4.16%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -10.29%E -6.39%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.22%EV -10.11%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.95%EV -13.64%E -8.80%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.83%EV -10.11%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -11.02%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:29
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -13.75%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.20%EV -10.85%E -6.78%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -16.47%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -0.265%E -0.148%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -0.265%E -0.148%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -19.02%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.24%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -21.01%E -4.83%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.41%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -21.92%E -5.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.41%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -21.92%E -5.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.41%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -21.92%E -5.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.32%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.81%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 54.98%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.45%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.57%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30