La escuela de los momios

Fatih Karagümrük v Eyüpspor

Inicio: 2026-04-18 11:32 UTC

Final: Fatih Karagümrük 1–2 Eyüpspor

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (Local)

Predicción 55.72%1.79momio equitativo
EV -0.265%
Ventaja -0.148%
Kelly -0.335%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.21%55.63%55.88%57.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.691.701.7964.52%59.04%58.82%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Eyüpspor (Visitante)

Predicción 18.16%5.51momio equitativo
EV +4.41%
Ventaja +0.768%
Kelly +0.929%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.39%18.19%18.09%21.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.894.905.7523.26%20.46%20.41%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.12%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.544%
Kelly -0.741%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.18%26.03%27.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.62%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.12%EV -5.84%E -3.45%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.35%E -0.904%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV +3.51%E +0.615%K +0.746%G +0.026%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:30
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.39%E -3.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV +1.69%E +0.302%K +0.367%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.39%E -3.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV +1.69%E +0.302%K +0.367%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.33%EV -6.95%E -4.16%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +1.69%E +0.302%K +0.367%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:30
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -0.126%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -0.126%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:29
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.71%EV -3.05%E -1.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.02%EV -2.30%E -0.428%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV -3.61%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 11:29
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.39%E -3.81%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.67%E -0.889%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.04%E -0.544%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 11:29
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -4.67%E -0.889%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:28
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -4.67%E -0.889%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.93%EV -5.84%E -3.45%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -5.57%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.65%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.23%EV -5.84%E -3.45%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.57%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -9.09%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 55.99%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 17.98%EV -6.12%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.03%EV -6.74%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:30
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.99%EV -7.51%E -4.52%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 17.98%EV -6.12%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.03%EV -6.74%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:30
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.85%EV -3.05%E -1.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.71%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.44%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 11:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -3.35%E -0.904%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.95%E -4.16%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:29
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.95%E -4.16%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.21%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -10.29%E -6.39%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.22%EV -10.11%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:29
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.95%EV -13.64%E -8.80%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.83%EV -10.11%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -11.02%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.96%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:29
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -13.75%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.20%EV -10.85%E -6.78%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -16.47%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -0.265%E -0.148%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -0.265%E -0.148%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -19.02%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -1.38%E -0.779%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:25
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.24%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -21.01%E -4.83%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.41%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -21.92%E -5.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.41%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -21.92%E -5.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.41%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -21.92%E -5.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.32%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.81%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 54.98%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.45%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.57%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30