Language:English
Fatih Karagümrük v Çaykur Rizespor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fatih Karagümrük (Local)
Prediction 31.93%3.13fair odd
EV -0.686%
Edge -0.221%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%31.93%31.94%33.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.933.1137.04%34.13%34.13%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Çaykur Rizespor (Visit)
Prediction 40.10%2.49fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.14%40.13%40.09%41.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.252.4447.62%43.93%44.44%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.96%3.58fair odd
EV +0.674%
Edge +0.187%
Kelly +0.259%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%27.94%27.97%29.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.333.353.6034.72%30.03%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fatih Karagümrük (Local): 31.93%; Çaykur Rizespor (Visit): 40.10%; Draw: 27.96%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.674%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.21%EV -0.686%E -0.221%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.83%EV -6.97%E -3.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.96%EV +0.674%E +0.187%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.12%E -0.606%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.12%E -0.606%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.12%E -0.606%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.13%EV -2.28%E -0.746%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.45%EV -2.96%E -0.853%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.52%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.52%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -2.60%E -0.853%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.46%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.15%E -0.882%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.15%E -0.882%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -13.38%E -6.20%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -13.38%E -6.20%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -13.38%E -6.20%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.78%E -5.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.77%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.29%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.77%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.29%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -5.16%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -8.83%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -6.97%E -3.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 11:22 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -6.97%E -3.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.10%EV -11.22%E -4.04%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.19%EV -10.98%E -4.94%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.71%EV -9.95%E -3.09%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -10.51%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 11:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.51%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.51%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.78%E -5.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.29%EV -12.98%E -5.98%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -10.51%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -15.79%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -19.46%E -6.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.03% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.98% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99% | -0.0% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |