La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Fatih Karagümrük v Çaykur Rizespor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fatih Karagümrük (Local)
Predicción 31.93%3.13momio equitativo
EV -0.686%
Ventaja -0.221%
Kelly -0.325%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%31.93%31.94%33.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.933.1137.04%34.13%34.13%32.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Çaykur Rizespor (Visitante)
Predicción 40.10%2.49momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.882%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.14%40.13%40.09%41.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.252.4447.62%43.93%44.44%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.96%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.674%
Ventaja +0.187%
Kelly +0.259%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%27.94%27.97%29.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.333.353.6034.72%30.03%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.21%EV -0.686%E -0.221%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.83%EV -6.97%E -3.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.96%EV +0.674%E +0.187%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.12%E -0.606%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.12%E -0.606%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.12%E -0.606%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| GTbets | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.13%EV -2.28%E -0.746%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.45%EV -2.96%E -0.853%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.52%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.52%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -2.60%E -0.853%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.46%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.15%E -0.882%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.15%E -0.882%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -13.38%E -6.20%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -13.38%E -6.20%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -13.38%E -6.20%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.78%E -5.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Betsson | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.77%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.29%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.77%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.29%EV -8.00%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -5.16%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -8.83%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -6.97%E -3.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 11:22 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -6.97%E -3.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.11%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.10%EV -11.22%E -4.04%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.19%EV -10.98%E -4.94%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.71%EV -9.95%E -3.09%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -10.51%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 11:23 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.51%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.51%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.78%E -5.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.29%EV -12.98%E -5.98%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -10.51%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -15.79%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -19.46%E -6.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.03% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.98% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99% | -0.0% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |