Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eyüpspor v Kocaelispor

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 13:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eyüpspor (Local)

Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -0.167%
Edge -0.043%
Kelly -0.059%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.50%25.95%25.98%26.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.553.8530.30%27.99%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kocaelispor (Visit)

Prediction 44.35%2.25fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.48%44.30%44.29%45.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.082.102.1852.63%48.17%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.72%3.36fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -0.972%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.66%29.75%29.73%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.113.103.2937.04%32.20%32.26%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eyüpspor (Local): 25.93%; Kocaelispor (Visit): 44.35%; Draw: 29.72%. For Eyüpspor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.167%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV -0.167%E -0.043%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 12:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -1.46%E -0.385%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.32%E -1.52%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.95%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -1.46%E -0.385%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.32%E -1.52%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.95%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 12:59
1xBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.46%E -0.385%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.06%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.45%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 12:58
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.736%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 12:59
Betsson🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 24.95%EV -3.28%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.53%EV -7.31%E -3.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
NordicBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 24.95%EV -3.28%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.53%EV -7.31%E -3.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 13:00
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 12:59
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 13:00
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 12:59
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.47%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 12:57
GTbets🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 25.77%EV -5.09%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.28%EV -5.53%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.25%EV -5.53%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 13:00
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 12:59
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 12:59
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 13:00
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 12:59
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-09 12:59
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -12.33%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-09 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 12:59
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 12:59
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-09 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -15.29%E -8.01%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -16.79%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-09 13:00
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 12:54
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 13:00
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-09 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-09 12:58
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-09 12:59
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.39%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-09 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.95%EV -11.74%E -5.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.95%EV -13.22%E -4.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-09 12:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.26%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.87%EV -15.73%E -8.28%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.87%EV -19.76%E -7.32%K -11.62%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-09 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-03-09 13:00
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-03-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.99%2.4%2026-03-09 13:00