L’École des cotes

Eyüpspor v Kocaelispor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 13:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Eyüpspor (Local)

Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV -0.167%
Avantage -0.043%
Kelly -0.059%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.50%25.95%25.98%26.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.573.553.8530.30%27.99%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kocaelispor (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.35%2.25cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%44.30%44.29%45.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.082.102.1852.63%48.17%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.72%3.36cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.677%
Kelly -0.972%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.66%29.75%29.73%31.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.113.103.2937.04%32.20%32.26%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV -0.167%E -0.043%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 12:59
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -1.46%E -0.385%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.32%E -1.52%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.95%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 12:59
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -1.46%E -0.385%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.32%E -1.52%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.95%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 12:59
1xBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.46%E -0.385%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.06%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.45%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 12:58
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.76%E -0.736%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 12:59
Betsson3.73I 26.81%NM 24.95%EV -3.28%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.53%EV -7.31%E -3.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
NordicBet3.73I 26.81%NM 24.95%EV -3.28%E -0.879%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.53%EV -7.31%E -3.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 13:00
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 12:59
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 13:00
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 12:59
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 12:59
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 13:00
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.47%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 12:57
GTbets3.66I 27.32%NM 25.77%EV -5.09%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.28%EV -5.53%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 12:59
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.25%EV -5.53%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 13:00
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 12:59
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 12:59
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 12:59
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 13:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 12:59
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-09 12:59
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -8.19%E -3.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 13:00
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -12.33%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-09 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 12:59
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 12:59
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 12:59
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 12:59
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.82%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-09 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -15.29%E -8.01%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -16.79%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-09 13:00
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 12:59
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 12:54
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -9.08%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 12:59
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 13:00
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-09 12:59
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-09 12:58
Fliff3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-09 12:59
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.86%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 13:00
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.39%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-09 13:00
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.95%EV -11.74%E -5.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.95%EV -13.22%E -4.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-09 12:59
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.26%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.87%EV -15.73%E -8.28%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.87%EV -19.76%E -7.32%K -11.62%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-09 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-03-09 13:00
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-03-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-03-09 13:00
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.99%2.4%2026-03-09 13:00