Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eyüpspor v Çaykur Rizespor

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

Final: Eyüpspor 4–0 Çaykur Rizespor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eyüpspor (Local)

Prediction 33.36%3.00fair odd
EV +3.75%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.067%

assuming max odds 3.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%33.30%33.75%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.803.1138.46%35.61%35.71%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Çaykur Rizespor (Visit)

Prediction 39.98%2.50fair odd
EV -0.857%
Edge -0.346%
Kelly -0.579%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%40.02%39.64%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.4847.62%43.58%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.499%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.64%26.68%26.62%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.443.453.7034.72%29.09%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eyüpspor (Local): 33.36%; Çaykur Rizespor (Visit): 39.98%; Draw: 26.66%. For Eyüpspor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.15%EV +3.75%E +1.21%K +1.78%G +0.067%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.67%EV -9.25%E -4.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -1.35%E -0.364%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.59%E -0.538%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.59%E -0.538%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -7.25%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -7.25%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:00
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.76%EV -8.45%E -3.69%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.21%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:59
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -11.25%E -5.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.85%E -4.87%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -2.06%E -0.839%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.05%E -2.58%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -14.05%E -6.53%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.80%EV -0.857%E -0.346%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.58%EV -3.48%E -0.962%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.18%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:00
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.05%E -2.58%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -14.05%E -6.53%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.10%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.15%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.10%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.15%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -16.05%E -7.64%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-09 17:00
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -10.59%E -3.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.07%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Bovada🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.59%EV -10.93%E -4.09%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.64%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.26%E -4.66%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -23.21%E -8.06%K -12.35%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.65%0.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.87%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%5.1%2026-05-09 17:00