L’École des cotes

Eyüpspor v Çaykur Rizespor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

Score final : Eyüpspor 4–0 Çaykur Rizespor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Eyüpspor (Local)

Prévision 33.36%3.00cote équitable
EV +3.75%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.78%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.15%33.30%33.75%34.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.803.1138.46%35.61%35.71%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Çaykur Rizespor (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.98%2.50cote équitable
EV -0.857%
Avantage -0.346%
Kelly -0.579%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.78%40.02%39.64%42.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.302.4847.62%43.58%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.66%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.364%
Kelly -0.499%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.64%26.68%26.62%29.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.443.453.7034.72%29.09%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.11I 32.15%NM 31.15%EV +3.75%E +1.21%K +1.78%G +0.067%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.67%EV -9.25%E -4.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -1.35%E -0.364%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.59%E -0.538%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:00
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.59%E -0.538%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -7.25%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -7.25%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:00
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:55
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.76%EV -8.45%E -3.69%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.21%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:59
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -11.25%E -5.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:59
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.85%E -4.87%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -2.06%E -0.839%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.05%E -2.58%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -14.05%E -6.53%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.05%E -5.48%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.80%EV -0.857%E -0.346%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.58%EV -3.48%E -0.962%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.18%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:00
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.05%E -2.58%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -14.05%E -6.53%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.10%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.15%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:00
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.10%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.15%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -16.05%E -7.64%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-09 17:00
GTbets2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -10.59%E -3.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.07%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.59%EV -10.93%E -4.09%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.64%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.26%E -4.66%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 17:00
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -10.05%E -4.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -23.21%E -8.06%K -12.35%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.65%0.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.87%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%5.1%2026-05-09 17:00