Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eyüpspor v Alanyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 16:00 UTC

Final: Eyüpspor 2–1 Alanyaspor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eyüpspor (Local)

Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV +0.867%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.298%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.06%25.82%30.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.173.533.533.9131.55%28.36%28.33%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alanyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 43.85%2.28fair odd
EV +4.36%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +3.16%
Growth +0.138%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.09%43.62%43.82%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.3850.00%46.66%46.51%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.35%3.29fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%30.32%30.36%31.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.103.2035.71%32.81%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eyüpspor (Local): 25.80%; Alanyaspor (Visit): 43.85%; Draw: 30.35%. For Alanyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.10%EV -18.22%E -5.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.09%EV +4.36%E +1.83%K +3.16%G +0.138%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.87%E -0.896%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 07:30
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:50
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
1xBet🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.83%EV +0.867%E +0.222%K +0.298%G +0.003%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.74%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.43%EV -3.17%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Pinnacle🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 25.07%EV -0.423%E -0.110%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.59%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.34%EV -3.17%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 15:50
GTbets🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.26%EV -7.39%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.44%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.31%EV -5.60%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:55
BetUS🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.16%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.16%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 15:45
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.38%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:45
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 15:45
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.26%E -0.869%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:35
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:35
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 15:46
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -16.16%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.46%E -3.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 15:45
NordicBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.19%EV -8.94%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.20%EV -6.16%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.61%EV -8.33%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 15:50
Betsson🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.19%EV -8.94%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.20%EV -6.16%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.61%EV -8.33%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -6.10%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.79%EV -6.60%E -3.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -17.45%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.78%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -17.45%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.78%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 15:45
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.97%E -0.519%K -0.704%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.87%E -0.896%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 15:45
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 15:40
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 15:45
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 15:45
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 15:39
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:55
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -12.58%E -4.37%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -12.58%E -4.37%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 15:50
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.07%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 15:53
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -9.23%E -4.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.10%EV -8.33%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.58%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.07%EV -11.43%E -5.66%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.49%EV -11.37%E -3.89%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.46%E -3.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%0.6%2026-08-30 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%0.6%2026-08-30 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%0.6%2026-08-30 15:55
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%0.6%2026-08-30 15:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 15:50
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-08-30 15:50