Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Eyüpspor v Alanyaspor

Inicio: 2026-08-30 16:00 UTC

Final: Eyüpspor 2–1 Alanyaspor

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Eyüpspor (Local)

Predicción 25.80%3.88momio equitativo
EV +0.867%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.298%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.06%25.82%30.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.173.533.533.9131.55%28.36%28.33%25.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alanyaspor (Visitante)

Predicción 43.85%2.28momio equitativo
EV +4.36%
Ventaja +1.83%
Kelly +3.16%
Crecimiento +0.138%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.09%43.62%43.82%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.3850.00%46.66%46.51%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.35%3.29momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -0.896%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.09%30.32%30.36%31.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.103.2035.71%32.81%32.26%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Eyüpspor (Local): 25.80%; Alanyaspor (Visitante): 43.85%; Empate: 30.35%. Para Alanyaspor (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.28. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.36%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.10%EV -18.22%E -5.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.09%EV +4.36%E +1.83%K +3.16%G +0.138%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.87%E -0.896%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 07:30
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:50
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.22%E -0.994%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
1xBet🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.83%EV +0.867%E +0.222%K +0.298%G +0.003%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.74%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.43%EV -3.17%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Pinnacle🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 25.07%EV -0.423%E -0.110%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.59%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.34%EV -3.17%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 15:50
GTbets🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.26%EV -7.39%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.44%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.31%EV -5.60%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:55
BetUS🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.16%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.16%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 15:45
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.38%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:45
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 15:45
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.26%E -0.869%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:35
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:35
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 15:46
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -16.16%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.46%E -3.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 15:45
NordicBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.19%EV -8.94%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.20%EV -6.16%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.61%EV -8.33%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 15:50
Betsson🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.19%EV -8.94%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.20%EV -6.16%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.61%EV -8.33%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -6.10%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.79%EV -6.60%E -3.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -17.45%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.78%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -17.45%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.78%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 15:45
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.97%E -0.519%K -0.704%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.87%E -0.896%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 15:45
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 15:40
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 15:45
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 15:45
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 15:39
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:55
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -12.58%E -4.37%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -12.58%E -4.37%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 15:50
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.07%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 15:53
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -9.23%E -4.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.10%EV -8.33%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.58%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.07%EV -11.43%E -5.66%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.49%EV -11.37%E -3.89%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.46%E -3.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%0.6%2026-08-30 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%0.6%2026-08-30 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%0.6%2026-08-30 15:55
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%0.6%2026-08-30 15:55
Smarkets◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 15:50
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-08-30 15:50