Language:English
Çaykur Rizespor v Samsunspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Çaykur Rizespor (Local)
Prediction 48.24%2.07fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.42%48.19%48.01%50.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.921.912.0355.25%52.14%52.36%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Samsunspor (Visit)
Prediction 24.43%4.09fair odd
EV -0.333%
Edge -0.082%
Kelly -0.108%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.54%24.61%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.803.804.0829.41%26.31%26.32%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%27.27%27.38%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.383.6031.25%29.53%29.59%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Çaykur Rizespor (Local): 48.24%; Samsunspor (Visit): 24.43%; Draw: 27.33%. For Samsunspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.08, with an expected value of -0.333%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.37%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.51%E -0.888%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.04%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.08%EV -1.55%E -0.386%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -4.90%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.41%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.16%EV -9.00%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.51%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.51%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -14.50%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.55%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -1.07%E -0.263%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.55%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -1.07%E -0.263%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.55%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -1.07%E -0.263%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.76%EV -4.48%E -2.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.66%EV -0.333%E -0.082%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.58%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -2.99%E -0.841%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -5.44%E -2.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -15.72%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -16.94%E -4.98%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -6.41%E -3.30%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.84%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.29%E -0.572%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.29%E -0.572%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.57%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -3.75%E -0.953%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -8.18%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.29%E -0.572%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.62%EV -4.24%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -9.27%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.62%EV -4.24%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -9.27%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.95%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.06%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.81%EV -5.22%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -14.50%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -15.72%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.62%E -0.450%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.06%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -11.71%E -6.40%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.71%E -6.40%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.06%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%EV -12.68%E -7.00%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%EV -12.68%E -7.00%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.42% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |