Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Çaykur Rizespor v Samsunspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 16:00 UTC

Score final : Çaykur Rizespor 0–2 Samsunspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Çaykur Rizespor (Local)

Prévision 48.24%2.07cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.42%48.19%48.01%50.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.811.921.912.0355.25%52.14%52.36%49.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Samsunspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.43%4.09cote équitable
EV -0.333%
Avantage -0.082%
Kelly -0.108%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%24.54%24.61%26.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.803.804.0829.41%26.31%26.32%24.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.33%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.450%
Kelly -0.623%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.99%27.27%27.38%28.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.383.6031.25%29.53%29.59%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Çaykur Rizespor (Local) : 48.24% ; Samsunspor (Visiteur) : 24.43% ; Match nul : 27.33%. Pour Samsunspor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.09. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.08, pour une espérance de -0.333% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.37%EV -2.06%E -1.02%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.51%E -0.888%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 12:50
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.04%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.08%EV -1.55%E -0.386%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -4.90%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 15:19
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.41%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.16%EV -9.00%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:14
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.51%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 15:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.51%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -14.50%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.55%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -1.07%E -0.263%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.55%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -1.07%E -0.263%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 15:15
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.55%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -1.07%E -0.263%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.76%EV -4.48%E -2.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.66%EV -0.333%E -0.082%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.58%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -2.99%E -0.841%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 15:19
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -5.44%E -2.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -15.72%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:19
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 15:14
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:14
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:14
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -16.94%E -4.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 15:20
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.62%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -6.41%E -3.30%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.84%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.29%E -0.572%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.29%E -0.572%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 15:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.57%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -3.75%E -0.953%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -8.18%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.29%E -0.572%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 15:19
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 15:19
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.62%EV -4.24%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -9.27%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.62%EV -4.24%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -9.27%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 15:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.95%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.06%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 12:54
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.81%EV -5.22%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -14.50%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -15.72%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.62%E -0.450%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:14
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:20
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:19
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:19
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.06%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -11.71%E -6.40%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.71%E -6.40%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.06%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%EV -12.68%E -7.00%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%EV -12.68%E -7.00%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -8.39%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 15:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.42%2.3%2026-08-22 15:15