Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çaykur Rizespor v Antalyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 10:32 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çaykur Rizespor (Local)

Prediction 59.69%1.68fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -6.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.43%59.66%59.66%61.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.551.561.6171.43%64.43%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Antalyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 16.96%5.90fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.293%
Kelly +0.352%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.50%16.97%16.97%18.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.395.306.0020.00%18.57%18.87%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV +2.72%
Edge +0.619%
Kelly +0.801%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%23.37%23.38%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.913.954.4029.41%25.56%25.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Çaykur Rizespor (Local): 59.69%; Antalyaspor (Visit): 16.96%; Draw: 23.35%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.44%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV +2.72%E +0.619%K +0.801%G +0.022%3.4%2026-03-08 10:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.44%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV +2.72%E +0.619%K +0.801%G +0.022%3.4%2026-03-08 10:29
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.31%EV -3.89%E -2.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV +1.08%E +0.181%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.40%EV -3.11%E -0.750%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 10:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -5.09%E -3.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -8.42%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 10:29
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.88%E -4.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.48%E -0.432%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -9.26%E -6.10%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +1.76%E +0.293%K +0.352%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -8.07%E -5.24%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -3.33%E -0.584%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.45%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:29
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -10.96%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -10.96%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 10:30
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.47%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.48%E -0.432%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 10:28
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.76%E +0.293%K +0.352%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 10:28
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.42%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.42%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.47%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 10:29
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.68%E -3.60%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.70%EV -4.35%E -0.771%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.67%EV -7.08%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 10:29
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.68%EV -6.88%E -4.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.75%EV -5.70%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 10:29
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.68%EV -6.88%E -4.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.75%EV -5.70%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:30
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:30
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.41%EV -8.07%E -5.24%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.96%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 10:29
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -8.07%E -5.24%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.76%E +0.293%K +0.352%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -6.88%E -4.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.46%E -6.97%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.02%EV -9.86%E -6.53%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -10.12%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 10:28
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -7.47%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV +1.76%E +0.293%K +0.352%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 10:29
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 10:29
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.47%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 10:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 10:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 10:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 10:29
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.03%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.96%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 10:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:29
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.46%E -6.97%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-08 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.06%E -7.42%K -22.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.02%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-08 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.52%EV -12.25%E -8.33%K -26.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.15%EV -13.51%E -2.65%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 10:30
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.95%E -4.43%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -10.46%E -6.97%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -20.62%E -6.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 10:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.67%EV -16.43%E -11.73%K -41.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.76%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -20.62%E -6.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-08 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-03-08 10:30
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.95%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-03-08 10:30
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-03-08 10:30
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.84%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-03-08 10:30