Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Çaykur Rizespor v Antalyaspor

Inicio: 2026-03-08 10:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Çaykur Rizespor (Local)

Predicción 59.69%1.68momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -2.42%
Kelly -6.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.43%59.66%59.66%61.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.551.561.6171.43%64.43%64.10%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Antalyaspor (Visitante)

Predicción 16.96%5.90momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.293%
Kelly +0.352%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.50%16.97%16.97%18.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.395.306.0020.00%18.57%18.87%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.35%4.28momio equitativo
EV +2.72%
Ventaja +0.619%
Kelly +0.801%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.98%23.37%23.38%25.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.913.954.4029.41%25.56%25.32%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Çaykur Rizespor (Local): 59.69%; Antalyaspor (Visitante): 16.96%; Empate: 23.35%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.28. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.72%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.44%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV +2.72%E +0.619%K +0.801%G +0.022%3.4%2026-03-08 10:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.44%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV +2.72%E +0.619%K +0.801%G +0.022%3.4%2026-03-08 10:29
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.31%EV -3.89%E -2.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV +1.08%E +0.181%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.40%EV -3.11%E -0.750%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 10:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -5.09%E -3.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -8.42%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 10:29
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.88%E -4.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.48%E -0.432%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -9.26%E -6.10%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +1.76%E +0.293%K +0.352%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -8.07%E -5.24%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -3.33%E -0.584%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.45%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:29
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -10.96%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -10.96%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 10:30
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.47%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.48%E -0.432%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 10:28
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.76%E +0.293%K +0.352%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 10:28
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.42%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.42%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.47%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.62%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 10:29
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.68%E -3.60%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.70%EV -4.35%E -0.771%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.67%EV -7.08%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 10:29
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.68%EV -6.88%E -4.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.75%EV -5.70%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 10:29
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.68%EV -6.88%E -4.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.75%EV -5.70%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:30
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:30
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.41%EV -8.07%E -5.24%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.96%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 10:29
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -8.07%E -5.24%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.76%E +0.293%K +0.352%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -6.88%E -4.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.46%E -6.97%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.02%EV -9.86%E -6.53%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -10.12%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 10:28
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -7.47%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV +1.76%E +0.293%K +0.352%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 10:29
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 10:29
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.47%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 10:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 10:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 10:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 10:29
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.03%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.96%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 10:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:29
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.46%E -6.97%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-08 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.06%E -7.42%K -22.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.02%EV -11.81%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-08 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.52%EV -12.25%E -8.33%K -26.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.15%EV -13.51%E -2.65%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 10:30
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -6.72%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.95%E -4.43%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -10.46%E -6.97%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -15.20%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -20.62%E -6.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 10:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.67%EV -16.43%E -11.73%K -41.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.76%EV -10.11%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -20.62%E -6.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-08 10:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-03-08 10:30
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.95%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-03-08 10:30
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-03-08 10:30
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.84%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-03-08 10:30