Language:English
Besiktas JK v Kocaelispor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Besiktas JK (Local)
Prediction 80.82%1.24fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -15.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.40%80.85%80.92%83.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.161.171.2090.91%86.39%85.84%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kocaelispor (Visit)
Prediction 6.38%15.67fair odd
EV +16.12%
Edge +0.886%
Kelly +0.937%
Growth +0.151%
assuming max odds 18.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.16%6.41%6.28%7.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5014.2614.0018.208.70%7.01%7.14%5.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 12.80%7.81fair odd
EV +8.81%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.08%12.74%12.80%14.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.197.008.5016.00%13.91%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Besiktas JK (Local): 80.82%; Kocaelispor (Visit): 6.38%; Draw: 12.80%. For Kocaelispor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.67. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -6.25%E -5.39%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 18.20I 5.49%NM 5.27%EV +16.12%E +0.886%K +0.937%G +0.151% | 7.98I 12.53%NM 12.02%EV +2.15%E +0.270%K +0.308%G +0.007% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -6.25%E -5.39%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +14.84%E +0.825%K +0.873%G +0.130% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV -19.35%E -3.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.87%EV -6.25%E -5.39%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 17.46I 5.73%NM 5.31%EV +11.40%E +0.653%K +0.692%G +0.079% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -19.99%E -3.20%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +8.46%E +0.498%K +0.529%G +0.045% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +8.81%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.103% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +8.46%E +0.498%K +0.529%G +0.045% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +8.81%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.103% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +8.46%E +0.498%K +0.529%G +0.045% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +8.81%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.103% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -8.67%E -7.68%K -66.73%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +8.46%E +0.498%K +0.529%G +0.045% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +8.81%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.103% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.36%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 16.24I 6.16%NM 5.93%EV +3.61%E +0.223%K +0.237%G +0.009% | 8.23I 12.15%NM 11.71%EV +5.35%E +0.650%K +0.740%G +0.040% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.87%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.96%EV +2.08%E +0.130%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -7.19%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.25%E -5.39%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +2.08%E +0.130%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.52%EV -7.87%E -6.90%K -56.19%G +0.000% | 15.25I 6.56%NM 6.09%EV -2.70%E -0.177%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -3.99%E -0.532%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -4.30%E -0.286%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -3.99%E -0.532%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -4.30%E -0.286%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -3.99%E -0.532%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -4.30%E -0.286%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -3.99%E -0.532%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.03%EV -6.25%E -5.39%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -4.30%E -0.286%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.70%EV -5.27%E -0.713%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -4.30%E -0.286%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -13.59%E -2.01%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -7.87%E -6.90%K -56.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -4.30%E -0.286%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -0.793%E -0.102%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -10.29%E -9.27%K -93.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -4.30%E -0.286%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +2.41%E +0.301%K +0.344%G +0.008% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.91%EV -7.87%E -6.90%K -56.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -4.30%E -0.286%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -16.79%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.18%EV -3.02%E -2.51%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 14.86I 6.73%NM 6.47%EV -5.19%E -0.349%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.34%EV -7.71%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -3.99%E -0.532%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -4.63%E -3.93%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -6.25%E -5.39%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -16.79%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.62%EV -11.10%E -10.09%K -110.99%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -10.68%E -0.763%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -3.99%E -0.532%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.12%EV -7.87%E -6.90%K -56.19%G +0.000% | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.64%EV -12.27%E -0.893%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.24%EV -11.67%E -1.69%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.59%EV -10.29%E -9.27%K -93.55%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.63%EV -13.87%E -1.03%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.06%E -6.14%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -17.06%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +2.41%E +0.301%K +0.344%G +0.008% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -17.06%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -17.06%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -17.06%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -17.06%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -17.06%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.44%E -4.65%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -17.06%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -11.10%E -10.09%K -110.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -17.06%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -3.99%E -0.532%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 15:51 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.41%EV -11.10%E -10.09%K -110.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.72%EV -17.06%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.87%EV -19.35%E -3.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.66%EV -6.25%E -5.39%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.30%EV -20.25%E -1.62%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -16.79%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.66%EV -6.25%E -5.39%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.30%EV -20.25%E -1.62%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -16.79%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.66%EV -6.25%E -5.39%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.30%EV -20.25%E -1.62%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -16.79%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -7.06%E -6.14%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.25%EV -20.25%E -1.62%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -16.79%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.72%EV -7.06%E -6.14%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -23.44%E -1.95%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -7.19%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 15:46 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -7.87%E -6.90%K -56.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -23.44%E -1.95%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -7.19%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.40%EV -7.06%E -6.14%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -23.44%E -1.95%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -18.07%E -2.82%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.08%EV -11.10%E -10.09%K -110.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.34%EV -23.44%E -1.95%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.38%EV -8.67%E -7.68%K -66.73%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.80%EV -26.63%E -2.32%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -10.39%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.62% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.62% | 0.1% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.89% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.25% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.82% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.93% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.91% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.16% | 1.8% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.48% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.84% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.68% | 2.7% | 2026-10-11 15:50 |