Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Besiktas JK v Kocaelispor

2026-10-11 16:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prediction 75.62%1.32fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -14.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.70%75.67%75.63%77.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.221.221.2786.21%81.93%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kocaelispor (Visit)

Prediction 8.35%11.98fair odd
EV +5.20%
Edge +0.413%
Kelly +0.448%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 12.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.68%8.41%8.33%10.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.7510.6111.0012.6012.90%9.43%9.09%7.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.04%6.24fair odd
EV +4.23%
Edge +0.651%
Kelly +0.769%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.56%15.92%16.04%17.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.685.756.5020.83%17.61%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Besiktas JK (Local): 75.62%; Kocaelispor (Visit): 8.35%; Draw: 16.04%. For Kocaelispor (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.98. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.60, producing a positive expected value of +5.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.43%EV -5.48%E -4.38%K -21.92%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.68%EV +5.20%E +0.413%K +0.448%G +0.023%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +4.23%E +0.651%K +0.769%G +0.033%3.3%2026-09-22 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.75%E -6.35%K -35.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +0.189%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +4.23%E +0.651%K +0.769%G +0.033%5.7%2026-09-22 09:39
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.35%EV -6.24%E -5.03%K -25.99%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -3.99%E -0.347%K -0.380%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.42%EV -1.54%E -0.251%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 08:24
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -6.24%E -5.03%K -25.99%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -3.99%E -0.347%K -0.380%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 07:44
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.59%EV -6.24%E -5.03%K -25.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -5.39%E -0.914%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 07:43
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -6.99%E -5.69%K -30.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -5.39%E -0.914%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.68%EV -6.99%E -5.69%K -30.40%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.27%EV -6.07%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 13:21
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -3.97%E -3.12%K -14.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -7.80%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 07:44
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.75%E -6.35%K -35.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.80%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.75%E -6.35%K -35.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.80%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.75%E -6.35%K -35.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.80%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 13:43
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -6.24%E -5.03%K -25.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -10.20%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 12:54
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.75%E -6.35%K -35.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.16%E -0.742%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 07:24
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.26%E -7.72%K -46.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -16.51%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 07:43
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.83%EV -6.24%E -5.03%K -25.99%G +0.000%11.48I 8.71%NM 8.08%EV -4.15%E -0.362%K -0.396%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.09%EV -12.93%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 08:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.35%EV -9.26%E -7.72%K -46.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -29.03%E -3.42%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.30%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-22 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 73.48%EV -12.29%E -10.59%K -76.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.47%EV -24.86%E -2.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.05%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-22 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -10.77%E -9.13%K -59.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -24.86%E -2.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -21.43%E -4.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-22 12:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 71.70%EV -11.53%E -9.85%K -67.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 10.82%EV -35.29%E -4.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.48%EV -23.03%E -4.80%K -6.06%G +0.000%19.2%2026-09-22 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.