默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Besiktas JK v Kocaelispor

2026-10-11 16:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Besiktas JK (主队)

预测 75.70%1.32公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -3.04%
Kelly -14.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.27

博彩公司预测分布
71.70%75.72%75.74%77.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.221.221.2786.21%82.00%81.97%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kocaelispor (客队)

预测 8.33%12.00公平赔率
EV +7.49%
优势 +0.581%
Kelly +0.630%
增长率 +0.047%

假设最高赔率为 12.90

博彩公司预测分布
7.50%8.39%8.34%10.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.7510.6411.0012.9012.90%9.40%9.09%7.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.97%6.26公平赔率
EV +6.37%
优势 +0.957%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.072%

假设最高赔率为 6.66

博彩公司预测分布
14.52%15.89%15.92%17.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.695.756.6620.83%17.57%17.39%15.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Besiktas JK (主队):75.70%;Kocaelispor (客队):8.33%;平局:15.97%。 对于“Kocaelispor (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.00。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为12.90,由此产生+7.49%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.98%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.57%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.50%EV +7.49%E +0.581%K +0.630%G +0.047%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.52%EV +6.37%E +0.957%K +1.13%G +0.072%3.4%2026-09-22 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -0.007%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +3.82%E +0.587%K +0.694%G +0.026%5.7%2026-09-22 09:39
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.35%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.57%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -4.17%E -0.363%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.42%EV -1.93%E -0.315%K -0.376%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 08:24
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.57%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -4.17%E -0.363%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.17%E -0.695%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 07:44
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.59%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -8.34%E -0.758%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -5.77%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 07:43
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -6.89%E -5.61%K -29.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.34%E -0.758%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -5.77%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -4.17%E -0.363%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -5.77%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 14:26
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -3.87%E -3.04%K -14.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.34%E -0.758%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 07:44
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -8.34%E -0.758%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -8.34%E -0.758%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -8.34%E -0.758%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 13:43
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -16.67%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -10.56%E -1.89%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 12:54
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.34%E -0.758%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 07:24
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -16.67%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 07:43
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.83%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.57%G +0.000%11.48I 8.71%NM 8.08%EV -4.34%E -0.378%K -0.414%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.09%EV -13.27%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 08:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.35%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -29.17%E -3.43%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.30%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-22 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 73.48%EV -12.19%E -10.51%K -76.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.47%EV -25.00%E -2.78%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.05%EV -20.14%E -4.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-22 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -10.68%E -9.05%K -59.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -25.00%E -2.78%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -21.74%E -4.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-22 12:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 71.70%EV -11.44%E -9.77%K -67.27%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 10.82%EV -35.42%E -4.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.48%EV -23.34%E -4.86%K -6.14%G +0.000%19.2%2026-09-22 12:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。