Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Besiktas JK v Kasimpasa SK

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prediction 70.00%1.43fair odd
EV -0.593%
Edge -0.418%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.78%69.90%69.93%72.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.331.331.4284.03%74.97%75.19%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Visit)

Prediction 11.43%8.75fair odd
EV +8.28%
Edge +0.874%
Kelly +0.977%
Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 9.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.19%11.53%11.52%13.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.807.827.509.4714.71%12.79%13.33%10.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.56%5.39fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +0.464%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.12%18.57%18.56%20.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.894.805.5023.09%20.46%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Besiktas JK (Local): 70.00%; Kasimpasa SK (Visit): 11.43%; Draw: 18.56%. For Kasimpasa SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.75. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.98%EV -6.19%E -4.62%K -18.22%G +0.000%9.47I 10.56%NM 10.19%EV +8.28%E +0.874%K +0.977%G +0.081%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.83%EV +0.418%E +0.077%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 16:29
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.89%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%9.03I 11.07%NM 10.29%EV +3.25%E +0.360%K +0.404%G +0.013%4.69I 21.32%NM 19.82%EV -12.95%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.07%EV -5.49%E -4.07%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -2.55%E -0.486%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.07%EV -5.49%E -4.07%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -2.55%E -0.486%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:39
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -6.19%E -4.62%K -18.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.55%E -0.486%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -8.99%E -6.92%K -29.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +2.09%E +0.380%K +0.464%G +0.010%6.2%2026-03-19 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.99%E -6.92%K -29.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.12%EV -8.29%E -6.33%K -26.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.48%E -0.669%K -0.829%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 16:30
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.48%EV -8.29%E -6.33%K -26.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -8.12%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 16:39
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.35%EV -8.29%E -6.33%K -26.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:39
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.26%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.58%EV -11.09%E -8.74%K -41.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-19 16:30
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.39%E -2.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.72%EV -7.27%E -0.897%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.43%EV -9.23%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:00
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.29%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV -7.61%E -0.942%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.23%EV -5.52%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -3.48%E -0.669%K -0.829%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 16:30
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.14%EV -10.82%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.21%EV -3.48%E -0.669%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -11.09%E -8.74%K -41.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.56%EV -11.39%E -1.47%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.55%E -0.486%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.39%E -2.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 09:30
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:29
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:29
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.99%E -6.92%K -29.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -19.63%E -4.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-19 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.35%EV -11.79%E -9.36%K -45.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.65%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.00%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-19 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 70.27%EV -16.69%E -14.03%K -87.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.15%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.58%EV -16.47%E -3.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-19 16:30
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.53%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.22%EV -15.39%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-19 16:39
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.33%EV -0.593%E -0.418%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.70%EV -19.05%E -2.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%EV +0.232%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 08:55
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 08:55
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -5.49%E -4.07%K -15.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-18 05:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 09:30
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 09:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.22%EV -8.29%E -6.33%K -26.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-19 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -8.99%E -6.92%K -29.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-19 16:36
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.49%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.60%EV -21.68%E -3.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -3.48%E -0.669%K -0.829%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -22.25%E -3.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 08:55
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -22.25%E -3.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.34%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%0.2%2026-03-19 16:40
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.34%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%0.2%2026-03-19 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.00%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%0.6%2026-03-19 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.00%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%0.6%2026-03-19 16:24
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%1.2%2026-03-19 16:39
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%2.1%2026-03-19 16:25