L’École des cotes

Besiktas JK v Kasimpasa SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prévision 70.00%1.43cote équitable
EV -0.593%
Avantage -0.418%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.78%69.90%69.93%72.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.331.331.4284.03%74.97%75.19%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.43%8.75cote équitable
EV +8.28%
Avantage +0.874%
Kelly +0.977%
Croissance +0.081%

avec la cote maximale 9.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.19%11.53%11.52%13.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.807.827.509.4714.71%12.79%13.33%10.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.56%5.39cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +0.380%
Kelly +0.464%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.12%18.57%18.56%20.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.894.805.5023.09%20.46%20.83%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.98%EV -6.19%E -4.62%K -18.22%G +0.000%9.47I 10.56%NM 10.19%EV +8.28%E +0.874%K +0.977%G +0.081%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.83%EV +0.418%E +0.077%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 16:29
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.89%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%9.03I 11.07%NM 10.29%EV +3.25%E +0.360%K +0.404%G +0.013%4.69I 21.32%NM 19.82%EV -12.95%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.07%EV -5.49%E -4.07%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -2.55%E -0.486%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.07%EV -5.49%E -4.07%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -2.55%E -0.486%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:39
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -6.19%E -4.62%K -18.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.55%E -0.486%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -8.99%E -6.92%K -29.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +2.09%E +0.380%K +0.464%G +0.010%6.2%2026-03-19 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:24
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.99%E -6.92%K -29.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +2.91%E +0.323%K +0.363%G +0.011%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 16:29
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.12%EV -8.29%E -6.33%K -26.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.48%E -0.669%K -0.829%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 16:30
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 70.48%EV -8.29%E -6.33%K -26.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -8.12%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 16:39
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 70.35%EV -8.29%E -6.33%K -26.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:39
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.26%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.58%EV -11.09%E -8.74%K -41.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -2.81%E -0.331%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-19 16:30
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.39%E -2.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.72%EV -7.27%E -0.897%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.43%EV -9.23%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.29%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV -7.61%E -0.942%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.23%EV -5.52%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -3.48%E -0.669%K -0.829%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 16:39
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 16:30
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 16:30
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.53%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 16:30
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.14%EV -10.82%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.21%EV -3.48%E -0.669%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -11.09%E -8.74%K -41.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.56%EV -11.39%E -1.47%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.55%E -0.486%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:29
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.39%E -2.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 09:30
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:29
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:29
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:29
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 09:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 16:24
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.99%E -6.92%K -29.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -19.63%E -4.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-19 16:29
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.35%EV -11.79%E -9.36%K -45.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.65%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.00%EV -14.62%E -3.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-19 14:30
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 70.27%EV -16.69%E -14.03%K -87.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.15%EV -14.25%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.58%EV -16.47%E -3.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-19 16:30
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 68.53%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.22%EV -15.39%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-19 16:39
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.33%EV -0.593%E -0.418%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.70%EV -19.05%E -2.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%EV +0.232%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 08:55
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.19%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 08:55
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -5.49%E -4.07%K -15.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-18 05:14
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 09:30
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 09:30
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 09:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.22%EV -8.29%E -6.33%K -26.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -12.76%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-19 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -8.99%E -6.92%K -29.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -19.96%E -2.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -11.83%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-19 16:36
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.49%EV -4.79%E -3.52%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.60%EV -21.68%E -3.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -3.48%E -0.669%K -0.829%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -22.25%E -3.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 08:55
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -22.25%E -3.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -10.90%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 08:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.34%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%0.2%2026-03-19 16:40
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.34%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%0.2%2026-03-19 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.00%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%0.6%2026-03-19 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.00%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%0.6%2026-03-19 16:24
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%1.2%2026-03-19 16:39
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%2.1%2026-03-19 16:25