Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.64
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Besiktas JK (Local): 37.63%; Galatasaray (Visit): 35.99%; Draw: 26.38%. For Besiktas JK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -0.657%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.74%EV -0.657%E -0.249%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -2.16%E -0.832%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -2.16%E -0.832%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.38%EV -2.54%E -0.980%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.39%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.23%EV -2.64%E -0.716%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -2.38%E -0.642%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 16:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.30%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.06%EV -1.04%E -0.378%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -2.38%E -0.642%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.06%EV -1.04%E -0.378%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -2.38%E -0.642%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -7.05%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -8.71%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.63%EV -7.05%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.42%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.63%EV -7.05%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.42%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.43%E -3.02%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.73%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.92%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.44%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -10.44%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -20.85%E -6.95%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.82%EV -10.82%E -4.56%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -11.61%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -11.57%E -4.92%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -11.57%E -4.92%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.45%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.77%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -15.33%E -6.81%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -11.61%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -15.33%E -6.81%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -18.21%E -5.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.14% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.75% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.44% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |