L’École des cotes

Besiktas JK v Galatasaray

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 17:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prévision 37.63%2.66cote équitable
EV -0.657%
Avantage -0.249%
Kelly -0.401%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.91%37.61%37.70%38.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.482.6444.44%40.51%40.40%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galatasaray (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.99%2.78cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.378%
Kelly -0.594%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.95%36.04%36.01%38.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.7543.48%39.49%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.38%3.79cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.282%
Kelly -0.385%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.17%26.35%26.29%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.553.7533.33%28.36%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.74%EV -0.657%E -0.249%K -0.401%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 16:59
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -2.16%E -0.832%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 17:00
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -2.16%E -0.832%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 17:00
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.38%EV -2.54%E -0.980%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.39%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.23%EV -2.64%E -0.716%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 16:59
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -2.38%E -0.642%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 16:56
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -12.56%E -5.17%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:00
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 17:00
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.30%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:00
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.06%EV -1.04%E -0.378%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -2.38%E -0.642%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.06%EV -1.04%E -0.378%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -2.38%E -0.642%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 16:59
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 17:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 17:00
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -7.05%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -8.71%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 16:59
Betsson2.47I 40.49%NM 37.63%EV -7.05%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.42%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 17:00
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.63%EV -7.05%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.42%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 17:00
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.43%E -3.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.73%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.92%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 16:59
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:59
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:59
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 16:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 16:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 16:59
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 16:59
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 16:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 17:00
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 17:00
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.44%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -7.65%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -10.44%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -20.85%E -6.95%K -10.42%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-07 17:00
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 36.82%EV -10.82%E -4.56%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -11.61%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -11.57%E -4.92%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 17:00
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -11.57%E -4.92%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.45%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.77%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -15.33%E -6.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -11.61%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-07 17:00
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -15.33%E -6.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -18.21%E -5.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-07 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-07 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.14%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.8%2026-03-07 17:00
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.90%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-07 17:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.75%3.5%2026-03-07 17:00
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-03-07 17:00